TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079201
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12147111113––––
Ivan Demchenko
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Ivan Demchenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 68 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 77.2%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 11–1 Ivan Demchenko Ivan Demchenko has won 1 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Gavryshko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-1 in 12
Gavryshko
Wrong
gap of 10 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1842 vs Demchenko 1671
Gavryshko
Wrong
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 80% vs Demchenko 0%
Gavryshko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 70% vs Demchenko 40%
Gavryshko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko -1 · Demchenko -5
Demchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Gavryshko) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Demchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.30 / Demchenko 3.40
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Gavryshko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13079201
Gavryshko1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 81 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it85% 71 of 84
Demchenko3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 18 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back10% 6 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko9wins
AwayDemchenko1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko100%8 of 8
AwayDemchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko8Demchenko2n = 10Gavryshko took 8 of 10
S2Gavryshko7Demchenko3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S3Gavryshko6Demchenko4n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S4Gavryshko4Demchenko2n = 6Gavryshko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoDemchenkoG − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.332.2+6.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoDemchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 622 vs 63 / 14153.4%44.7%332 / 622 vs 63 / 141Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.30/Demchenko 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.6%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Demchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko—127110I. Demchenko—1411133
WAug 16 · 22:55O. Gavryshko—11119113I. Demchenko—971181
WAug 15 · 21:25O. Gavryshko—11112143I. Demchenko—6111121
WAug 7 · 20:25O. Gavryshko—11311113I. Demchenko—911981
WAug 3 · 24:25O. Gavryshko—1111113I. Demchenko—5680
WAug 2 · 24:55O. Gavryshko—1311113I. Demchenko—11580
WJul 12 · 21:55O. Gavryshko—1111113I. Demchenko—9850
WJul 12 · 02:25O. Gavryshko—11811113I. Demchenko—611661
WJul 5 · 21:55O. Gavryshko—511118113I. Demchenko—11991172
WJul 4 · 22:25O. Gavryshko—1113104113I. Demchenko—211121152
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191
I. Demchenko10
WSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921LSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101WSep 7 · 24:55I. Demchenko2.631111113M. Makienko1.449690WSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113LSep 6 · 02:55I. Demchenko2.1010770M. Makienko1.671211113LSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.504930LAug 21 · 19:03Y. Kryvorotko1.44111289113I. Demchenko2.63810111142
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