TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12471674
Played Aug 21Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181210811911114
Ivan Demchenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Ivan Demchenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-3
Point 93 set 5, 10-3
93 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 6–2 Ivan Demchenko Ivan Demchenko has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Demchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.44 / Demchenko 2.63
Signal prob.76% / 25%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12471674
Kryvorotko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 134 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 97
Demchenko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog21% won 15 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKryvorotko6wins
AwayDemchenko2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko100%5 of 5
AwayDemchenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko5Demchenko3n = 8Kryvorotko took 5 of 8
S2Kryvorotko4Demchenko4n = 8split evenly
S3Kryvorotko6Demchenko2n = 8Kryvorotko took 6 of 8
S4Kryvorotko4Demchenko2n = 6Kryvorotko took 4 of 6
S5Kryvorotko2Demchenko1n = 3Kryvorotko took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoDemchenkoK − DBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.935.1+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoDemchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 498 vs 62 / 13563.9%45.9%318 / 498 vs 62 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.44/Demchenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 21 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko—4101171I. Demchenko—11129113
WAug 16 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko—12126113I. Demchenko—10101141
WAug 1 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko—11911113I. Demchenko—811651
WJul 12 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko—117711113I. Demchenko—81111572
WJul 5 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko—1113113I. Demchenko—71190
WJul 3 · 17:55Y. Kryvorotko—7111110113I. Demchenko—11851252
WMay 29 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko—1111113I. Demchenko—7590
LMay 22 · 20:24Y. Kryvorotko—89111182I. Demchenko—111190113
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100
I. Demchenko10
WSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921LSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101WSep 7 · 24:55I. Demchenko2.631111113M. Makienko1.449690WSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:55I. Demchenko2.1010770M. Makienko1.671211113LSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.504930
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