TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073799
Played Sep 4Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111151136111214
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 74.9% is still 74.9%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
74.9%
74.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Yevhenii Kryvorotko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 88 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 74.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 20–41 Yevhenii Kryvorotko Pavel Plakushchyi has won 20 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-41 in 61
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 21 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1630 vs Kryvorotko 1842
Kryvorotko
Correct
both rated, 212 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 40% vs Kryvorotko 80%
Kryvorotko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 50% vs Kryvorotko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi +1 · Kryvorotko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 3.50 / Kryvorotko 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073799
Plakushchyi3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 86 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 89
Kryvorotko1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 129 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it81% 79 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlakushchyi3wins
AwayKryvorotko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyi40%2 of 5
AwayKryvorotko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi5Kryvorotko5n = 10split evenly
S2Plakushchyi6Kryvorotko4n = 10Plakushchyi took 6 of 10
S3Plakushchyi3Kryvorotko7n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S4Plakushchyi3Kryvorotko5n = 8Kryvorotko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiKryvorotkoP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.339.6−3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiKryvorotkoBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 685 vs 323 / 50244.8%64.3%307 / 685 vs 323 / 502Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoPlakushchyi 3.50/Kryvorotko 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.1%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi—115641Y. Kryvorotko—81111113
LJul 18 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi—1177101Y. Kryvorotko—81111123
WJul 17 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi—12117113Y. Kryvorotko—1071151
WJul 11 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi—1117113Y. Kryvorotko—61560
LJul 4 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi—4550Y. Kryvorotko—1111113
WJun 20 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi—71111113Y. Kryvorotko—117681
LJun 19 · 15:25P. Plakushchyi—1181111122Y. Kryvorotko—811135143
LJun 13 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi—91111392Y. Kryvorotko—119611113
LMay 24 · 24:25P. Plakushchyi—1215551Y. Kryvorotko—141311113
LMay 22 · 15:25P. Plakushchyi—6118101Y. Kryvorotko—11611123
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732WSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi2.25101050O. Gavryshko1.571212113WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113LSep 3 · 17:55S. Ponomarenko1.20113911113P. Plakushchyi4.3351111672LSep 3 · 16:55P. Plakushchyi3.75581111102M. Makienko1.25111184123LSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov2.751112113P. Plakushchyi1.4071070WSep 3 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi1.5761111113O. Kovalchuk2.25118781WSep 3 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.539111111113O. Kovalchuk2.3811981372
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100WAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko2.0010230Y. Kryvorotko1.731211113
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