TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043120
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012211311––––
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:47 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Yevhenii Kryvorotko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 49 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 56.6%
49 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 61–87 Yevhenii Kryvorotko Oleksandr Dukhovenko has won 61 of their 148 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:47What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-87 in 148
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 26 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1811 vs Kryvorotko 1814
Kryvorotko
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 60% vs Kryvorotko 40%
Dukhovenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 80% vs Kryvorotko 40%
Dukhovenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko +3 · Kryvorotko +2
Dukhovenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvorotko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvorotko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 2.00 / Kryvorotko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13043120
Dukhovenko2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Kryvorotko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 134 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it82% 82 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko6wins
AwayKryvorotko4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko57.1%4 of 7
AwayKryvorotko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko7Kryvorotko3n = 10Dukhovenko took 7 of 10
S2Dukhovenko6Kryvorotko4n = 10Dukhovenko took 6 of 10
S3Dukhovenko6Kryvorotko4n = 10Dukhovenko took 6 of 10
S4Dukhovenko4Kryvorotko3n = 7Dukhovenko took 4 of 7
S5Dukhovenko3Kryvorotko4n = 7Kryvorotko took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoKryvorotkoD − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.241.6+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoKryvorotkoBasisWin rate · lifetime537 / 857 vs 322 / 50462.7%63.9%537 / 857 vs 322 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoDukhovenko 2.00/Kryvorotko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko—7131011113Y. Kryvorotko—111112872
LAug 21 · 17:25O. Dukhovenko—121291192Y. Kryvorotko—1410119113
LAug 15 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko—11611862Y. Kryvorotko—711811113
LAug 14 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko—13911722Y. Kryvorotko—1111511113
WAug 2 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko—9101111133Y. Kryvorotko—111242112
WJul 25 · 18:25O. Dukhovenko—1112113Y. Kryvorotko—71060
WJul 25 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko—1114123Y. Kryvorotko—912100
WJul 11 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko—111147143Y. Kryvorotko—461111122
LJul 5 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko—117101272Y. Kryvorotko—8111210113
WJul 3 · 19:08O. Dukhovenko—1112113Y. Kryvorotko—61090
O. Dukhovenko10
LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113WSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192WSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621WSep 5 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.504930
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100
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