TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079118
Played Sep 6Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1155116111210711
Oleg Gavryshko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Oleg Gavryshko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 54.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 45–40 Oleg Gavryshko Oleg Gavryshko has won 40 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-40 in 85
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1815 vs Gavryshko 1868
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Gavryshko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 70% vs Gavryshko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko +1 · Gavryshko +3
Gavryshko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvorotko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.61 / Gavryshko 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kryvorotko)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13079118
Kryvorotko1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 132 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it80% 81 of 101
Gavryshko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko6wins
AwayGavryshko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko66.7%4 of 6
AwayGavryshko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko6Gavryshko4n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S2Kryvorotko6Gavryshko4n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S3Kryvorotko4Gavryshko6n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S4Kryvorotko2Gavryshko6n = 8Gavryshko took 6 of 8
S5Kryvorotko4Gavryshko1n = 5Kryvorotko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoGavryshkoK − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.439.5+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoGavryshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 501 vs 331 / 61964.1%53.5%321 / 501 vs 331 / 619Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.61/Gavryshko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko—77100O. Gavryshko—1111123
LAug 29 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko—1186101O. Gavryshko—71111123
WAug 28 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko—111196113O. Gavryshko—69111162
LAug 16 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko—11119792O. Gavryshko—881111113
LAug 14 · 16:55Y. Kryvorotko—661151O. Gavryshko—11119113
WAug 1 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko—10111310113O. Gavryshko—129111292
WJul 25 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko—1181011113O. Gavryshko—31112592
WJul 25 · 04:25Y. Kryvorotko—1111113O. Gavryshko—1590
WJul 12 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko—1111811113O. Gavryshko—59111382
WJul 5 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko—81111113O. Gavryshko—117681
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100WAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko2.0010230Y. Kryvorotko1.731211113
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100
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