TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079673
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118117––––
Mykhailo Makienko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Mykhailo Makienko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 59 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 2–1 Mykhailo Makienko Mykhailo Makienko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:17What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Makienko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1856 vs Makienko 1780
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 60% vs Makienko 100%
Makienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 60% vs Makienko 100%
Makienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko +2 · Makienko +5
Makienko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gavryshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makienko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.83 / Makienko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gavryshko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079673
Gavryshko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Makienko1.83
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGavryshko2wins
AwayMakienko1wins
Gavryshko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko2Makienko1n = 3Gavryshko took 2 of 3
S2Gavryshko1Makienko2n = 3Makienko took 2 of 3
S3Gavryshko2Makienko1n = 3Gavryshko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricGavryshkoMakienkoG − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match31.729.7+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoMakienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 619 vs 63 / 9753.5%65%331 / 619 vs 63 / 97Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.83/Makienko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko—1211113M. Makienko—10870
LAug 30 · 24:25O. Gavryshko—5870M. Makienko—1111113
WAug 28 · 16:55O. Gavryshko—11811113M. Makienko—511691
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191
M. Makienko10
LSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661LSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113LSep 7 · 24:55I. Demchenko2.631111113M. Makienko1.449690WSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113WSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172WSep 6 · 02:55I. Demchenko2.1010770M. Makienko1.671211113LSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192WSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113WSep 3 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk3.75119251M. Makienko1.2531111113
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