TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073869
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119211119––
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 69 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 65.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 49–29 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 29 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gavryshko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-29 in 78
Gavryshko
Correct
gap of 20 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1827 vs Mishchenko 1570
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 256 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 60% vs Mishchenko 40%
Gavryshko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 50% vs Mishchenko 30%
Gavryshko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko -2 · Mishchenko -3
Mishchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Gavryshko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.40 / Mishchenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Gavryshko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073869
Gavryshko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 78 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it84% 68 of 81
Mishchenko2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 89 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back12% 16 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko7wins
AwayMishchenko3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko100%5 of 5
AwayMishchenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko5Mishchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Gavryshko4Mishchenko6n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S3Gavryshko7Mishchenko3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S4Gavryshko3Mishchenko2n = 5Gavryshko took 3 of 5
S5Gavryshko4Mishchenko1n = 5Gavryshko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoMishchenkoG − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.836.9+0.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 621 vs 495 / 105553%46.9%329 / 621 vs 495 / 1055Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.40/Mishchenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 03:25O. Gavryshko—117411113O. Mishchenko—81111882
WAug 9 · 02:55O. Gavryshko—1111113O. Mishchenko—8780
WAug 3 · 03:25O. Gavryshko—1181110133O. Mishchenko—811812112
WJul 15 · 22:25O. Gavryshko—911119113O. Mishchenko—11981142
LJul 12 · 23:55O. Gavryshko—97131162O. Mishchenko—1111119113
WJun 14 · 01:55O. Gavryshko—771111113O. Mishchenko—11117582
LJun 8 · 03:25O. Gavryshko—10120O. Mishchenko—1211113
LJun 5 · 15:25O. Gavryshko—7880O. Mishchenko—1111113
WApr 30 · 01:25O. Gavryshko—1111123O. Mishchenko—72100
WApr 29 · 04:05O. Gavryshko—1111123O. Mishchenko—88100
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113LSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 4 · 18:55A. Chepurnyi1.441111113O. Mishchenko2.639850LSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840WSep 4 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.5711511482O. Mishchenko2.25611511113WSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.