TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084178
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012611––––
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeArtem Chepurnyi to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 63 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Artem Chepurnyi at 61.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 87–112 Artem Chepurnyi Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 87 of their 199 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
87-112 in 199
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 25 in 199, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1546 vs Chepurnyi 1757
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 211 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 0% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Chepurnyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 20% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Chepurnyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -5 · Chepurnyi +1
Mishchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Chepurnyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.20 / Chepurnyi 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Chepurnyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084178
Mishchenko2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 90 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back12% 17 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Chepurnyi1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite65% won 165 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it93% 83 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it82% 129 of 157
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko4wins
AwayChepurnyi6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChepurnyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko80%4 of 5
AwayChepurnyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko5Chepurnyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Mishchenko5Chepurnyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Mishchenko4Chepurnyi6n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S4Mishchenko2Chepurnyi4n = 6Chepurnyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoChepurnyiM − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.836.5−1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 1051 vs 562 / 94746.7%59.4%491 / 1051 vs 562 / 947Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChepurnyiMishchenko 2.20/Chepurnyi 1.61
Hit
What we said
61.3%
Chepurnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 21:55O. Mishchenko—111294113A. Chepurnyi—810111162
LAug 28 · 17:25O. Mishchenko—51060A. Chepurnyi—1112113
LAug 23 · 21:25O. Mishchenko—5111171A. Chepurnyi—11913113
WAug 23 · 01:25O. Mishchenko—1111113A. Chepurnyi—7750
LAug 17 · 01:25O. Mishchenko—119591A. Chepurnyi—61111113
WAug 9 · 22:55O. Mishchenko—12811113A. Chepurnyi—1011991
WAug 9 · 01:25O. Mishchenko—1111113A. Chepurnyi—4990
LAug 2 · 23:55O. Mishchenko—11870A. Chepurnyi—1311113
LJul 22 · 22:55O. Mishchenko—91161142A. Chepurnyi—112119113
LJul 22 · 24:55O. Mishchenko—1071191A. Chepurnyi—12119113
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113LSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191LSep 4 · 18:55A. Chepurnyi1.441111113O. Mishchenko2.639850LSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840WSep 4 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.5711511482O. Mishchenko2.25611511113WSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172LSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820WSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621LSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 18:55A. Chepurnyi1.441111113O. Mishchenko2.639850
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