TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079200
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115511116112––
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 62 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 64.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 136–59 Artem Chepurnyi Artem Chepurnyi has won 59 of their 195 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:30What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
136-59 in 195
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 77 in 195, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1825 vs Chepurnyi 1742
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 80% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Dukhovenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 70% vs Chepurnyi 30%
Dukhovenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko +3 · Chepurnyi -1
Dukhovenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chepurnyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.50 / Chepurnyi 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079200
Dukhovenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 201 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it98% 124 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it91% 155 of 171
Chepurnyi2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko6wins
AwayChepurnyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayChepurnyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko7Chepurnyi3n = 10Dukhovenko took 7 of 10
S2Dukhovenko4Chepurnyi6n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S3Dukhovenko5Chepurnyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Dukhovenko3Chepurnyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Dukhovenko2Chepurnyi1n = 3Dukhovenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoChepurnyiD − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.836.2+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime528 / 848 vs 558 / 94062.3%59.4%528 / 848 vs 558 / 940Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.50/Chepurnyi 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko—111511113A. Chepurnyi—7131391
LAug 14 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko—6260A. Chepurnyi—1111113
LAug 10 · 04:25O. Dukhovenko—13691192A. Chepurnyi—1111115113
WAug 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko—81112113A. Chepurnyi—1151051
WAug 7 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko—131193A. Chepurnyi—11860
WAug 3 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko—124115113A. Chepurnyi—101151182
LAug 1 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko—6890A. Chepurnyi—1111113
WJul 25 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko—1110117113A. Chepurnyi—91221192
LJul 19 · 23:25O. Dukhovenko—135881A. Chepurnyi—111111113
WJun 29 · 02:55O. Dukhovenko—1111113A. Chepurnyi—6470
O. Dukhovenko10
LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113WSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192WSep 5 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.504930WSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113WSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172LSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820WSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113
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