TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078910
Played Sep 6Finished
Artem Chepurnyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111311118711117
Mykhailo Makienko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Makienko to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Mykhailo Makienko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Mykhailo Makienko at 64.8%
98 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 1–4 Mykhailo Makienko Artem Chepurnyi has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Makienko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Makienko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1730 vs Makienko 1770
Makienko
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 40% vs Makienko 60%
Makienko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 40% vs Makienko 80%
Makienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi -1 · Makienko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Makienko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 2.00 / Makienko 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Makienko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078910
Chepurnyi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Makienko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 46 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it86% 38 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeChepurnyi1wins
AwayMakienko4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderMakienko leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMakienko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi1Makienko4n = 5Makienko took 4 of 5
S2Chepurnyi1Makienko4n = 5Makienko took 4 of 5
S3Chepurnyi4Makienko1n = 5Chepurnyi took 4 of 5
S4Chepurnyi3Makienko2n = 5Chepurnyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricChepurnyiMakienkoC − MBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match39.843.4−3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiMakienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime559 / 943 vs 64 / 9959.3%64.7%559 / 943 vs 64 / 99Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakienkoChepurnyi 2.00/Makienko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Makienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 30 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi—89111192M. Makienko—111169113
WAug 28 · 13:55A. Chepurnyi—61113113M. Makienko—1181121
LAug 22 · 23:55A. Chepurnyi—43111182M. Makienko—111189113
LJul 23 · 01:55A. Chepurnyi—146781M. Makienko—121111113
LJul 21 · 23:55A. Chepurnyi—1271181M. Makienko—14116113
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113WSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113LSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820WSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621LSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113
M. Makienko10
LSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661LSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113LSep 7 · 24:55I. Demchenko2.631111113M. Makienko1.449690WSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113WSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123WSep 6 · 02:55I. Demchenko2.1010770M. Makienko1.671211113LSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192LSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113WSep 3 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk3.75119251M. Makienko1.2531111113
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