TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13080022
Played Sep 6Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118112––––
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:48 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 56 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 58.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 67–46 Artem Chepurnyi Artem Chepurnyi has won 46 of their 113 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-46 in 113
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 21 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1817 vs Chepurnyi 1730
Kryvorotko
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 40% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Chepurnyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Chepurnyi 40%
Kryvorotko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko -1 · Chepurnyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chepurnyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.61 / Chepurnyi 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13080022
Kryvorotko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 132 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it80% 81 of 101
Chepurnyi2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko5wins
AwayChepurnyi5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko83.3%5 of 6
AwayChepurnyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko6Chepurnyi4n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S2Kryvorotko5Chepurnyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Kryvorotko2Chepurnyi8n = 10Chepurnyi took 8 of 10
S4Kryvorotko3Chepurnyi5n = 8Chepurnyi took 5 of 8
S5Kryvorotko4Chepurnyi2n = 6Kryvorotko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoChepurnyiK − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.942.0−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 503 vs 559 / 94364%59.3%322 / 503 vs 559 / 943Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.61/Chepurnyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko—118251A. Chepurnyi—61111113
WAug 30 · 02:55Y. Kryvorotko—119511113A. Chepurnyi—61111562
LAug 28 · 18:25Y. Kryvorotko—69130A. Chepurnyi—1111153
WAug 22 · 22:25Y. Kryvorotko—11118113A. Chepurnyi—991171
WAug 21 · 16:25Y. Kryvorotko—111257113A. Chepurnyi—710111182
WAug 16 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko—1151111113A. Chepurnyi—71113562
LAug 14 · 18:55Y. Kryvorotko—5950A. Chepurnyi—1111113
LAug 2 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko—1011119122A. Chepurnyi—128911143
WJul 25 · 16:25Y. Kryvorotko—1111112123A. Chepurnyi—641311102
LJul 17 · 18:25Y. Kryvorotko—91211832A. Chepurnyi—1110611113
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100WAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko2.0010230Y. Kryvorotko1.731211113
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113WSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172WSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621LSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.