TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079119
Played Sep 5Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611117118––
Ivan Demchenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Ivan Demchenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 70.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 8–2 Ivan Demchenko Ivan Demchenko has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1807 vs Demchenko 1676
Kryvorotko
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Demchenko 40%
Kryvorotko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Demchenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko -2 · Demchenko -3
Demchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvorotko form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.40 / Demchenko 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13079119
Kryvorotko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 132 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it80% 81 of 101
Demchenko2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog24% won 18 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko8wins
AwayDemchenko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko100%7 of 7
AwayDemchenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko7Demchenko3n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S2Kryvorotko5Demchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kryvorotko7Demchenko3n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S4Kryvorotko5Demchenko3n = 8Kryvorotko took 5 of 8
S5Kryvorotko3Demchenko1n = 4Kryvorotko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoDemchenkoK − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.736.0+5.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoDemchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 501 vs 62 / 13864.1%44.9%321 / 501 vs 62 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.035.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.40/Demchenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.6%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko—11611113I. Demchenko—911781
WAug 21 · 19:03Y. Kryvorotko—111289113I. Demchenko—810111142
LAug 21 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko—4101171I. Demchenko—11129113
WAug 16 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko—12126113I. Demchenko—10101141
WAug 1 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko—11911113I. Demchenko—811651
WJul 12 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko—117711113I. Demchenko—81111572
WJul 5 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko—1113113I. Demchenko—71190
WJul 3 · 17:55Y. Kryvorotko—7111110113I. Demchenko—11851252
WMay 29 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko—1111113I. Demchenko—7590
LMay 22 · 20:24Y. Kryvorotko—89111182I. Demchenko—111190113
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100WAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko2.0010230Y. Kryvorotko1.731211113
I. Demchenko10
WSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921LSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101WSep 7 · 24:55I. Demchenko2.631111113M. Makienko1.449690WSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:55I. Demchenko2.1010770M. Makienko1.671211113LSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.504930LAug 21 · 19:03Y. Kryvorotko1.44111289113I. Demchenko2.63810111142
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