TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079224
Played Sep 5Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111181311911711
Mykhailo Makienko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Mykhailo Makienko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 100 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 1–2 Mykhailo Makienko Yevhenii Kryvorotko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:30What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1810 vs Makienko 1780
Kryvorotko
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Makienko 100%
Makienko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Makienko 100%
Makienko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko -1 · Makienko +5
Makienko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makienko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.80 / Makienko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079224
Kryvorotko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 132 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it80% 81 of 101
Makienko1.91
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog63% won 15 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKryvorotko1wins
AwayMakienko2wins
Makienko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMakienko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko0Makienko3n = 3Makienko took 3 of 3
S2Kryvorotko3Makienko0n = 3Kryvorotko took 3 of 3
S3Kryvorotko1Makienko2n = 3Makienko took 2 of 3
S4Kryvorotko1Makienko2n = 3Makienko took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoMakienkoK − MBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match38.738.0+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoMakienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 504 vs 62 / 9564.3%65.3%324 / 504 vs 62 / 95Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.80/Makienko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Makienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 29 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko—1011891M. Makienko—12811113
LAug 28 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko—1011991M. Makienko—12911113
WAug 23 · 24:55Y. Kryvorotko—61111113M. Makienko—117561
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100WAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko2.0010230Y. Kryvorotko1.731211113
M. Makienko10
LSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661LSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113LSep 7 · 24:55I. Demchenko2.631111113M. Makienko1.449690WSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113WSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172WSep 6 · 02:55I. Demchenko2.1010770M. Makienko1.671211113LSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192LSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 3 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk3.75119251M. Makienko1.2531111113
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