TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073882
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811211511––
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 65 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 58.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 65–44 Artem Chepurnyi Artem Chepurnyi has won 44 of their 109 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:49What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-44 in 109
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 21 in 109, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1826 vs Chepurnyi 1738
Kryvorotko
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 80% vs Chepurnyi 40%
Kryvorotko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Chepurnyi 30%
Kryvorotko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko +3 · Chepurnyi +2
Kryvorotko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kryvorotko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvorotko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.61 / Chepurnyi 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073882
Kryvorotko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 129 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it81% 79 of 98
Chepurnyi2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko7wins
AwayChepurnyi3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko100%5 of 5
AwayChepurnyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko5Chepurnyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Kryvorotko7Chepurnyi3n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S3Kryvorotko5Chepurnyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Kryvorotko4Chepurnyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Kryvorotko4Chepurnyi2n = 6Kryvorotko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoChepurnyiK − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.640.3+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 503 vs 562 / 94864.4%59.3%324 / 503 vs 562 / 948Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.61/Chepurnyi 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 16:25Y. Kryvorotko—111257113A. Chepurnyi—710111182
WAug 16 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko—1151111113A. Chepurnyi—71113562
LAug 14 · 18:55Y. Kryvorotko—5950A. Chepurnyi—1111113
LAug 2 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko—1011119122A. Chepurnyi—128911143
WJul 25 · 16:25Y. Kryvorotko—1111112123A. Chepurnyi—641311102
LJul 17 · 18:25Y. Kryvorotko—91211832A. Chepurnyi—1110611113
WJun 26 · 17:55Y. Kryvorotko—11811113A. Chepurnyi—511771
WJun 20 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko—61111113A. Chepurnyi—116661
WJun 12 · 19:55Y. Kryvorotko—10111111123A. Chepurnyi—128139102
WJun 6 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko—1211113A. Chepurnyi—10760
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100WAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko2.0010230Y. Kryvorotko1.731211113
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113WSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172LSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820WSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621LSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113
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