TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073887
Played Sep 4Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117511114118––
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:50 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timePavel Plakushchyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 68 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Pavel Plakushchyi at 56.2%
68 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 61–47 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 47 of their 108 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:50What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Plakushchyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-47 in 108
Plakushchyi
Correct
gap of 14 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1619 vs Mishchenko 1592
Plakushchyi
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 20% vs Mishchenko 40%
Mishchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 40% vs Mishchenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi -1 · Mishchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Plakushchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 1.67 / Mishchenko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Plakushchyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073887
Plakushchyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 45 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Mishchenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 89 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back12% 16 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlakushchyi5wins
AwayMishchenko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyi80%4 of 5
AwayMishchenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi5Mishchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Plakushchyi5Mishchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Plakushchyi7Mishchenko3n = 10Plakushchyi took 7 of 10
S4Plakushchyi2Mishchenko6n = 8Mishchenko took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiMishchenkoP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.635.7−0.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 684 vs 495 / 105344.7%47%306 / 684 vs 495 / 1053Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlakushchyiPlakushchyi 1.67/Mishchenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Plakushchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plakushchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi—41115113O. Mishchenko—1161371
WAug 26 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi—114117113O. Mishchenko—91151172
LAug 25 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi—811481O. Mishchenko—11611113
LAug 20 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi—1187111O. Mishchenko—61111133
WAug 20 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi—1111113O. Mishchenko—8870
LAug 19 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi—671151O. Mishchenko—11115113
LJul 30 · 02:55P. Plakushchyi—991181O. Mishchenko—11115113
WJul 29 · 02:55P. Plakushchyi—11511113O. Mishchenko—811691
WJul 20 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi—1111113O. Mishchenko—8870
LJul 19 · 04:25P. Plakushchyi—711781O. Mishchenko—11811113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 7 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.30111111113P. Plakushchyi3.40137641LSep 7 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.36111114113P. Plakushchyi3.006131211LSep 7 · 14:40V. Marushchak2.001111113P. Plakushchyi1.738670LSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi1.73114411113P. Plakushchyi2.0071111892LSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732LSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi2.25101050O. Gavryshko1.571212113WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113LSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191LSep 4 · 18:55A. Chepurnyi1.441111113O. Mishchenko2.639850LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840WSep 4 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.5711511482O. Mishchenko2.25611511113WSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113
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