TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088947
Played Sep 7Finished
Artem Yurkov
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181181412––
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 84 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 72.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Artem Yurkov 10–4 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1641 vs Plakushchyi 1641
Yurkov
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 40% vs Plakushchyi 20%
Yurkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 60% vs Plakushchyi 20%
Yurkov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov -1 · Plakushchyi -3
Plakushchyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Yurkov) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 1.33 / Plakushchyi 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Yurkov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088947
Yurkov1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 211 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it92% 83 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it74% 139 of 189
Plakushchyi3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 87 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov7wins
AwayPlakushchyi3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov100%4 of 4
AwayPlakushchyi50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov4Plakushchyi6n = 10Plakushchyi took 6 of 10
S2Yurkov9Plakushchyi1n = 10Yurkov took 9 of 10
S3Yurkov6Plakushchyi4n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Yurkov6Plakushchyi2n = 8Yurkov took 6 of 8
S5Yurkov2Plakushchyi3n = 5Plakushchyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovPlakushchyiY − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.136.7+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime587 / 986 vs 302 / 67859.5%44.5%587 / 986 vs 302 / 678Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.835.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovYurkov 1.33/Plakushchyi 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 12:40A. Yurkov—511611113P. Plakushchyi—11911482
LAug 28 · 11:40A. Yurkov—511116122P. Plakushchyi—117311143
WJul 31 · 13:40A. Yurkov—1111113P. Plakushchyi—9570
WJul 22 · 06:20A. Yurkov—1111113P. Plakushchyi—8890
LJul 21 · 19:00A. Yurkov—88111182P. Plakushchyi—111169113
LJul 15 · 06:50A. Yurkov—101131192P. Plakushchyi—127119113
WJul 14 · 13:00A. Yurkov—1111611113P. Plakushchyi—44111352
WJul 10 · 11:10A. Yurkov—11173113P. Plakushchyi—7151161
WJun 26 · 16:10A. Yurkov—101111103P. Plakushchyi—124581
WJun 17 · 06:50A. Yurkov—91111113P. Plakushchyi—118731
A. Yurkov10
WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 7 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi1.73114411113P. Plakushchyi2.0071111892LSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732LSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi2.25101050O. Gavryshko1.571212113WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113LSep 3 · 17:55S. Ponomarenko1.20113911113P. Plakushchyi4.3351111672LSep 3 · 16:55P. Plakushchyi3.75581111102M. Makienko1.25111184123LSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov2.751112113P. Plakushchyi1.4071070
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