TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088949
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111161311911110
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Kolbasenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-0
Point 91 set 5, 11-0 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolbasenko 36–55 Artem Yurkov Oleksandr Kolbasenko has won 36 of their 91 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-55 in 91
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 19 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1702 vs Yurkov 1651
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 60% vs Yurkov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 50% vs Yurkov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko -1 · Yurkov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 2.10 / Yurkov 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Yurkov)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13088949
Kolbasenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 24 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Yurkov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 211 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it92% 83 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it74% 139 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolbasenko2wins
AwayYurkov8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenko40%2 of 5
AwayYurkov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolbasenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S3Kolbasenko6Yurkov4n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S4Kolbasenko2Yurkov7n = 9Yurkov took 7 of 9
S5Kolbasenko1Yurkov4n = 5Yurkov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoYurkovK − YBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.343.6−4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 318 vs 591 / 99052.5%59.7%167 / 318 vs 591 / 990Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovKolbasenko 2.10/Yurkov 1.67
Miss
What we said
54%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko—81141192A. Yurkov—114118113
LAug 24 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko—11891282A. Yurkov—8111110113
WAug 17 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko—1312113A. Yurkov—111080
LAug 10 · 12:10O. Kolbasenko—951271A. Yurkov—111110113
LAug 3 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko—11811152A. Yurkov—711911113
LJul 27 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko—811861A. Yurkov—11811113
WJul 20 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko—118114123A. Yurkov—511311102
LJul 10 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko—119116122A. Yurkov—711911143
LJul 6 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko—5811111A. Yurkov—11118133
LJun 30 · 12:30O. Kolbasenko—6111071A. Yurkov—11912113
O. Kolbasenko10
LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113WAug 26 · 09:20O. Kolbasenko1.7311116113A. Lievshin2.00671171LAug 26 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko1.9111611113O. Kolbasenko1.80611741WAug 26 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko1.507111111113A. Hrabskyi2.5011136652LAug 24 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.6311811113O. Kolbasenko1.44511821LAug 24 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.5711118692A. Lievshin2.25671111113WAug 24 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.50116158123A. Hrabskyi2.506111311102WAug 24 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko2.25115116113V. Marushchak1.5791161172LAug 24 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.3811891282A. Yurkov1.538111110113
A. Yurkov10
WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 24 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.3811891282A. Yurkov1.538111110113
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