TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482211
Played Aug 24Finished
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1188119111210811
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:27 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolbasenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.8%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolbasenko 36–53 Artem Yurkov Oleksandr Kolbasenko has won 36 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:27What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-53 in 89
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 17 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1709 vs Yurkov 1704
Kolbasenko
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 60% vs Yurkov 40%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 50% vs Yurkov 30%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko +1 · Yurkov -3
Yurkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 2.38 / Yurkov 1.53
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Yurkov)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12482211
Kolbasenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Yurkov1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 216 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it92% 85 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it73% 144 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolbasenko3wins
AwayYurkov7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenko50%3 of 6
AwayYurkov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko6Yurkov4n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S2Kolbasenko3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S3Kolbasenko8Yurkov2n = 10Kolbasenko took 8 of 10
S4Kolbasenko0Yurkov9n = 9Yurkov took 9 of 9
S5Kolbasenko2Yurkov3n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoYurkovK − YBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.543.3−3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 318 vs 595 / 98653.1%60.3%169 / 318 vs 595 / 986Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.941.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovKolbasenko 2.38/Yurkov 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.8%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko—1312113A. Yurkov—111080
LAug 10 · 12:10O. Kolbasenko—951271A. Yurkov—111110113
LAug 3 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko—11811152A. Yurkov—711911113
LJul 27 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko—811861A. Yurkov—11811113
WJul 20 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko—118114123A. Yurkov—511311102
LJul 10 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko—119116122A. Yurkov—711911143
LJul 6 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko—5811111A. Yurkov—11118133
LJun 30 · 12:30O. Kolbasenko—6111071A. Yurkov—11912113
WJun 26 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko—118114113A. Yurkov—61181172
LJun 19 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko—117111092A. Yurkov—711912113
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123WSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113WAug 26 · 09:20O. Kolbasenko1.7311116113A. Lievshin2.00671171LAug 26 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko1.9111611113O. Kolbasenko1.80611741WAug 26 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko1.507111111113A. Hrabskyi2.5011136652LAug 24 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.6311811113O. Kolbasenko1.44511821LAug 24 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.5711118692A. Lievshin2.25671111113WAug 24 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.50116158123A. Hrabskyi2.506111311102
A. Yurkov10
WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113WAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113
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