TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015121
Played Aug 26Finished
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116611117114––
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Oleksandr Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 67 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 1–2 Oleksandr Kolbasenko Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolbasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1790 vs Kolbasenko 1700
Seliuchenko
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 40% vs Kolbasenko 60%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 70% vs Kolbasenko 50%
Seliuchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko +1 · Kolbasenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 1.91 / Kolbasenko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13015121
Seliuchenko1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog60% won 50 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back44% 18 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back19% 4 of 21
Kolbasenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 64 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko1wins
AwayKolbasenko2wins
Kolbasenko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko1Kolbasenko2n = 3Kolbasenko took 2 of 3
S2Seliuchenko2Kolbasenko1n = 3Seliuchenko took 2 of 3
S3Seliuchenko1Kolbasenko2n = 3Kolbasenko took 2 of 3
S4Seliuchenko1Kolbasenko2n = 3Kolbasenko took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoKolbasenkoS − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.037.3−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 275 vs 169 / 31960.7%53%167 / 275 vs 169 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoSeliuchenko 1.91/Kolbasenko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 30 · 16:00O. Seliuchenko—11711123O. Kolbasenko—6114101
LMar 6 · 15:40O. Seliuchenko—6119101O. Kolbasenko—11911123
LJan 10 · 15:40O. Seliuchenko—511391O. Kolbasenko—11511113
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123WSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113WAug 26 · 09:20O. Kolbasenko1.7311116113A. Lievshin2.00671171WAug 26 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko1.507111111113A. Hrabskyi2.5011136652LAug 24 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.6311811113O. Kolbasenko1.44511821LAug 24 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.5711118692A. Lievshin2.25671111113WAug 24 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.50116158123A. Hrabskyi2.506111311102WAug 24 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko2.25115116113V. Marushchak1.5791161172
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