TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055308
Played Sep 1Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111311119611911
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 98 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 56.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 6–7 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Andrii Hrabskyi has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1654 vs Seliuchenko 1797
Seliuchenko
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 20% vs Seliuchenko 60%
Seliuchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 50% vs Seliuchenko 70%
Seliuchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi +1 · Seliuchenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 2.00 / Seliuchenko 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055308
Hrabskyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back26% 42 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 84
Seliuchenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 81 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 65 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi5wins
AwaySeliuchenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi100%3 of 3
AwaySeliuchenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi3Seliuchenko7n = 10Seliuchenko took 7 of 10
S2Hrabskyi4Seliuchenko6n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S3Hrabskyi6Seliuchenko4n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S4Hrabskyi5Seliuchenko3n = 8Hrabskyi took 5 of 8
S5Hrabskyi2Seliuchenko1n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiSeliuchenkoH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.540.0−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 486 vs 173 / 28444%60.9%214 / 486 vs 173 / 284Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoHrabskyi 2.00/Seliuchenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 10:50A. Hrabskyi—91111113O. Seliuchenko—114781
WAug 25 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi—11511133O. Seliuchenko—8118111
LAug 19 · 11:20A. Hrabskyi—591181O. Seliuchenko—11114113
WAug 18 · 16:00A. Hrabskyi—1161711113O. Seliuchenko—81119972
WAug 12 · 12:20A. Hrabskyi—1111123O. Seliuchenko—97100
LAug 5 · 12:20A. Hrabskyi—79130O. Seliuchenko—1111153
LAug 4 · 15:30A. Hrabskyi—4911101O. Seliuchenko—11117123
WJul 31 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—311911113O. Seliuchenko—11811882
LJul 28 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi—816871O. Seliuchenko—111411113
LJul 7 · 14:00A. Hrabskyi—78111162O. Seliuchenko—111147113
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392LSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113LSep 1 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.839101161Y. Shmyndra1.8311127113
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113WAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.831291151O. Seliuchenko1.8314118113
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