TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13032917
Played Aug 28Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115511811117511
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:21 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 85 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 56.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 3–2 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:21What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1606 vs Seliuchenko 1786
Seliuchenko
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 60% vs Seliuchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 70% vs Seliuchenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi -2 · Seliuchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 2.00 / Seliuchenko 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13032917
Plakushchyi2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 81 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 85
Seliuchenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it76% 69 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePlakushchyi3wins
AwaySeliuchenko2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPlakushchyi leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySeliuchenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi2Seliuchenko3n = 5Seliuchenko took 3 of 5
S2Plakushchyi4Seliuchenko1n = 5Plakushchyi took 4 of 5
S3Plakushchyi3Seliuchenko2n = 5Plakushchyi took 3 of 5
S4Plakushchyi2Seliuchenko1n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiSeliuchenkoP − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.033.0+5.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 680 vs 172 / 28344.6%60.8%303 / 680 vs 172 / 283Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoPlakushchyi 2.00/Seliuchenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 31 · 10:40P. Plakushchyi—8880O. Seliuchenko—1111113
WJul 22 · 10:50P. Plakushchyi—1112113O. Seliuchenko—31090
LJul 21 · 17:00P. Plakushchyi—91111972O. Seliuchenko—119411113
WJul 15 · 07:50P. Plakushchyi—91111113O. Seliuchenko—119741
WJul 14 · 14:00P. Plakushchyi—12119113O. Seliuchenko—1061161
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732LSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi2.25101050O. Gavryshko1.571212113WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113LSep 3 · 17:55S. Ponomarenko1.20113911113P. Plakushchyi4.3351111672LSep 3 · 16:55P. Plakushchyi3.75581111102M. Makienko1.25111184123LSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov2.751112113P. Plakushchyi1.4071070WSep 3 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi1.5761111113O. Kovalchuk2.25118781
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.831291151O. Seliuchenko1.8314118113
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