TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073951
Played Sep 4Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012511––––
Oleg Gavryshko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Oleg Gavryshko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 60 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 58.6%
60 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 46–52 Oleg Gavryshko Pavel Plakushchyi has won 46 of their 98 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gavryshko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-52 in 98
Gavryshko
Correct
gap of 6 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1624 vs Gavryshko 1875
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 251 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 20% vs Gavryshko 60%
Gavryshko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 40% vs Gavryshko 60%
Gavryshko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi +1 · Gavryshko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Gavryshko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 2.25 / Gavryshko 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Gavryshko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073951
Plakushchyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 86 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 89
Gavryshko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 78 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it84% 68 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlakushchyi4wins
AwayGavryshko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyi60%3 of 5
AwayGavryshko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi5Gavryshko5n = 10split evenly
S2Plakushchyi4Gavryshko6n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S3Plakushchyi4Gavryshko6n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S4Plakushchyi2Gavryshko3n = 5Gavryshko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiGavryshkoP − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.736.4−0.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiGavryshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 683 vs 328 / 61844.8%53.1%306 / 683 vs 328 / 618Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoPlakushchyi 2.25/Gavryshko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 24 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi—113771O. Gavryshko—21111113
LJul 13 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi—86100O. Gavryshko—1111123
LJul 12 · 04:25P. Plakushchyi—1191471O. Gavryshko—51116113
WJul 6 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi—1111113O. Gavryshko—7890
WJul 5 · 04:25P. Plakushchyi—111111113O. Gavryshko—137851
WJun 22 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi—1111113O. Gavryshko—5680
LJun 20 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi—71060O. Gavryshko—1112113
LJun 19 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi—311131192O. Gavryshko—1113117113
LJun 15 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi—9860O. Gavryshko—1111113
WJun 14 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi—11111414113O. Gavryshko—96161692
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732LSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113LSep 3 · 17:55S. Ponomarenko1.20113911113P. Plakushchyi4.3351111672LSep 3 · 16:55P. Plakushchyi3.75581111102M. Makienko1.25111184123LSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov2.751112113P. Plakushchyi1.4071070WSep 3 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi1.5761111113O. Kovalchuk2.25118781WSep 3 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.539111111113O. Kovalchuk2.3811981372
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113
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