TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482435
Played Aug 24Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811118112––
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:18 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Oleksandr Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 67 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 72.5%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 31–47 Oleksandr Kolbasenko Vladimir Voronenko has won 31 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolbasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-47 in 78
Kolbasenko
Wrong
gap of 16 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1585 vs Kolbasenko 1707
Kolbasenko
Wrong
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 20% vs Kolbasenko 60%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 40% vs Kolbasenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -2 · Kolbasenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kolbasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voronenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.63 / Kolbasenko 1.44
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12482435
Voronenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 61 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Kolbasenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 63 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko2wins
AwayKolbasenko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko33.3%2 of 6
AwayKolbasenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko6Kolbasenko4n = 10Voronenko took 6 of 10
S2Voronenko3Kolbasenko7n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S3Voronenko4Kolbasenko6n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S4Voronenko1Kolbasenko4n = 5Kolbasenko took 4 of 5
S5Voronenko0Kolbasenko3n = 3Kolbasenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoKolbasenkoV − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.138.9−5.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 531 vs 171 / 32245%53.1%239 / 531 vs 171 / 322Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.839.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoVoronenko 2.63/Kolbasenko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.5%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 16:40V. Voronenko—712481O. Kolbasenko—111011113
LJul 27 · 16:40V. Voronenko—4490O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LJul 20 · 16:40V. Voronenko—11881162O. Kolbasenko—911117113
WJul 10 · 17:10V. Voronenko—1112113O. Kolbasenko—81070
LJul 6 · 15:10V. Voronenko—11411952O. Kolbasenko—811911113
LJun 26 · 16:40V. Voronenko—9690O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LJun 19 · 13:10V. Voronenko—1110481O. Kolbasenko—91211113
WJun 12 · 16:40V. Voronenko—1113113O. Kolbasenko—91190
LMay 29 · 16:38V. Voronenko—8980O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LMay 29 · 12:10V. Voronenko—14911772O. Kolbasenko—1211611113
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123WSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113WAug 26 · 09:20O. Kolbasenko1.7311116113A. Lievshin2.00671171LAug 26 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko1.9111611113O. Kolbasenko1.80611741WAug 26 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko1.507111111113A. Hrabskyi2.5011136652LAug 24 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.5711118692A. Lievshin2.25671111113WAug 24 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.50116158123A. Hrabskyi2.506111311102WAug 24 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko2.25115116113V. Marushchak1.5791161172
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O. Kolbasenko
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