TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049352
Played Aug 31Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311411114511111
Vitalii S Marushchak
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeVitalii S Marushchak to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Vitalii S Marushchak below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 1-11
Point 82 set 5, 1-11 — our read held Vitalii S Marushchak at 60.1%
82 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 30–44 Vitalii S Marushchak Vladimir Voronenko has won 30 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:45What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Marushchak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-44 in 74
Marushchak
Correct
gap of 14 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1694 vs Marushchak 1726
Marushchak
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 100% vs Marushchak 80%
Voronenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 80% vs Marushchak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko +5 · Marushchak +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Marushchak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marushchak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.25 / Marushchak 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Marushchak)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13049352
Voronenko2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 65 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Marushchak1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 67 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko6wins
AwayMarushchak4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVoronenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayMarushchak42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko3Marushchak7n = 10Marushchak took 7 of 10
S2Voronenko7Marushchak3n = 10Voronenko took 7 of 10
S3Voronenko5Marushchak5n = 10split evenly
S4Voronenko3Marushchak4n = 7Marushchak took 4 of 7
S5Voronenko4Marushchak2n = 6Voronenko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoMarushchakV − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.040.5−0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoMarushchakBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 532 vs 295 / 62745.9%47.1%244 / 532 vs 295 / 627Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakVoronenko 2.25/Marushchak 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Marushchak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko—518711113V. Marushchak—111611852
LAug 24 · 15:10V. Voronenko—3550V. Marushchak—1111113
LAug 21 · 16:40V. Voronenko—91111482V. Marushchak—116611113
WAug 17 · 15:10V. Voronenko—51111113V. Marushchak—118591
LAug 10 · 13:10V. Voronenko—11960V. Marushchak—1311113
WAug 7 · 15:10V. Voronenko—1210811113V. Marushchak—101211792
WAug 3 · 12:10V. Voronenko—911113113V. Marushchak—11581182
WJul 24 · 13:40V. Voronenko—611129113V. Marushchak—119101162
WJul 17 · 12:40V. Voronenko—1111123V. Marushchak—79100
LJul 13 · 12:40V. Voronenko—11119982V. Marushchak—281111113
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
V. Marushchak10
LSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133WSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750LSep 2 · 11:50Y. Shmyndra2.2511119113V. Marushchak1.57581191LSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
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