TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015202
Played Aug 26Finished
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711311––––
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Mishchenko above · Oleksandr Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 48 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 61.6%
48 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Mishchenko 16–26 Oleksandr Kolbasenko Vladyslav Mishchenko has won 16 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-26 in 42
Kolbasenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1609 vs Kolbasenko 1705
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Kolbasenko 40%
Kolbasenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 50% vs Kolbasenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -1 · Kolbasenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.38 / Kolbasenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13015202
Mishchenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Kolbasenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 64 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko0wins
AwayKolbasenko10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKolbasenko100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko1Kolbasenko9n = 10Kolbasenko took 9 of 10
S2Mishchenko1Kolbasenko9n = 10Kolbasenko took 9 of 10
S3Mishchenko3Kolbasenko7n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S4Mishchenko3Kolbasenko2n = 5Mishchenko took 3 of 5
S5Mishchenko0Kolbasenko3n = 3Kolbasenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoKolbasenkoM − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.638.6−10.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 420 vs 170 / 32146.9%53%197 / 420 vs 170 / 321Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoMishchenko 2.38/Kolbasenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 13:10V. Mishchenko—51161142O. Kolbasenko—119119113
LJul 27 · 13:10V. Mishchenko—2660O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LJul 20 · 14:40V. Mishchenko—119641O. Kolbasenko—91111113
LJul 10 · 11:40V. Mishchenko—118111192O. Kolbasenko—131184113
LJul 6 · 13:10V. Mishchenko—86111172O. Kolbasenko—111191113
LJun 26 · 13:10V. Mishchenko—6770O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LJun 19 · 11:40V. Mishchenko—3490O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LJun 12 · 13:10V. Mishchenko—681191O. Kolbasenko—11115113
LMay 15 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—9190O. Kolbasenko—1111113
LMay 4 · 17:10V. Mishchenko—8690O. Kolbasenko—1111113
V. Mishchenko10
LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko2.25811851O. Seliuchenko1.5711911113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792LAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.101012851A. Hrabskyi1.67121011113LAug 21 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.73641111113V. Mishchenko2.0011117362WAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101LAug 21 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.5311128113V. Mishchenko2.388101181WAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.831111113A. Lievshin1.835650WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123WSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 26 · 09:20O. Kolbasenko1.7311116113A. Lievshin2.00671171LAug 26 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko1.9111611113O. Kolbasenko1.80611741WAug 26 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko1.507111111113A. Hrabskyi2.5011136652LAug 24 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.6311811113O. Kolbasenko1.44511821LAug 24 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.5711118692A. Lievshin2.25671111113WAug 24 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.50116158123A. Hrabskyi2.506111311102WAug 24 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko2.25115116113V. Marushchak1.5791161172
Upcoming Matches
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O. Kolbasenko
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