TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12427745
Played Aug 14Finished
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112105111412119
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:42 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVladyslav Mishchenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 104 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 61.7%
104 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Mishchenko 37–56 Artem Yurkov Vladyslav Mishchenko has won 37 of their 93 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-56 in 93
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 19 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1621 vs Yurkov 1730
Yurkov
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Yurkov 40%
Yurkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 40% vs Yurkov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko +1 · Yurkov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.00 / Yurkov 1.73
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Yurkov)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12427745
Mishchenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 44 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Yurkov1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 222 of 367
Up 2–0, closes it93% 87 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it73% 145 of 200
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko5wins
AwayYurkov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko50%2 of 4
AwayYurkov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Mishchenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S3Mishchenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Mishchenko4Yurkov4n = 8split evenly
S5Mishchenko2Yurkov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoYurkovM − YBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.341.0−0.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 416 vs 601 / 99247.1%60.6%196 / 416 vs 601 / 992Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.141.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovMishchenko 2.00/Yurkov 1.73
Miss
What we said
61.7%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 06:20V. Mishchenko—71180A. Yurkov—1113113
WAug 7 · 11:10V. Mishchenko—1411510113A. Yurkov—129111272
LAug 3 · 11:40V. Mishchenko—67100A. Yurkov—1111123
WJul 29 · 09:20V. Mishchenko—10191111113A. Yurkov—12218682
LJul 27 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—671151A. Yurkov—11115113
WJul 24 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—11119113A. Yurkov—781151
LJul 22 · 09:20V. Mishchenko—111111672A. Yurkov—913611113
WJul 20 · 16:10V. Mishchenko—71112113A. Yurkov—1171091
LJul 17 · 11:10V. Mishchenko—11119542A. Yurkov—941111113
WJul 13 · 12:10V. Mishchenko—101111113A. Yurkov—128941
V. Mishchenko10
LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko2.25811851O. Seliuchenko1.5711911113LAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792LAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.101012851A. Hrabskyi1.67121011113LAug 21 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.73641111113V. Mishchenko2.0011117362WAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101LAug 21 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.5311128113V. Mishchenko2.388101181WAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.831111113A. Lievshin1.835650
A. Yurkov10
WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101
Upcoming Matches
V. Mishchenko
Nothing scheduled
A. Yurkov
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