TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467192
Played Aug 21Finished
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116115––––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladyslav Mishchenko above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 57.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Mishchenko 2–1 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:12What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1635 vs Lievshin 1717
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 40% vs Lievshin 20%
Mishchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 40% vs Lievshin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko +2 · Lievshin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 1.83 / Lievshin 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Lievshin)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467192
Mishchenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Lievshin1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMishchenko2wins
AwayLievshin1wins
Mishchenko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko2Lievshin1n = 3Mishchenko took 2 of 3
S2Mishchenko3Lievshin0n = 3Mishchenko took 3 of 3
S3Mishchenko1Lievshin2n = 3Lievshin took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMishchenkoLievshinM − LBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.731.7+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 412 vs 146 / 25447.1%57.5%194 / 412 vs 146 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinMishchenko 1.83/Lievshin 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 14 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—1011981A. Lievshin—12711113
WAug 12 · 10:50V. Mishchenko—13118133A. Lievshin—11311111
WAug 7 · 15:40V. Mishchenko—1111113A. Lievshin—5670
V. Mishchenko10
LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko2.25811851O. Seliuchenko1.5711911113LAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792LAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.101012851A. Hrabskyi1.67121011113LAug 21 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.73641111113V. Mishchenko2.0011117362WAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101LAug 21 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.5311128113V. Mishchenko2.388101181WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
A. Lievshin10
LSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850LSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.7361090A. Lievshin2.001112113LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113LAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792
Upcoming Matches
V. Mishchenko
Nothing scheduled
A. Lievshin
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