TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015230
Played Aug 26Finished
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5116111012––––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Mishchenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 55 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 61.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Mishchenko 39–56 Artem Yurkov Vladyslav Mishchenko has won 39 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-56 in 95
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 17 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1619 vs Yurkov 1658
Yurkov
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 40% vs Yurkov 0%
Mishchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 40% vs Yurkov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -2 · Yurkov -5
Yurkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.38 / Yurkov 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Yurkov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13015230
Mishchenko2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Yurkov1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 214 of 360
Up 2–0, closes it92% 84 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it72% 141 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMishchenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko75%3 of 4
AwayYurkov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Mishchenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S3Mishchenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Mishchenko5Yurkov3n = 8Mishchenko took 5 of 8
S5Mishchenko3Yurkov1n = 4Mishchenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoYurkovM − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.3−1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 417 vs 595 / 99147%60%196 / 417 vs 595 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.240.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovMishchenko 2.38/Yurkov 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—11124123A. Yurkov—81011101
WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko—912514113A. Yurkov—1110111292
LAug 12 · 06:20V. Mishchenko—71180A. Yurkov—1113113
WAug 7 · 11:10V. Mishchenko—1411510113A. Yurkov—129111272
LAug 3 · 11:40V. Mishchenko—67100A. Yurkov—1111123
WJul 29 · 09:20V. Mishchenko—10191111113A. Yurkov—12218682
LJul 27 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—671151A. Yurkov—11115113
WJul 24 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—11119113A. Yurkov—781151
LJul 22 · 09:20V. Mishchenko—111111672A. Yurkov—913611113
WJul 20 · 16:10V. Mishchenko—71112113A. Yurkov—1171091
V. Mishchenko10
LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko2.25811851O. Seliuchenko1.5711911113LAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.101012851A. Hrabskyi1.67121011113LAug 21 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.73641111113V. Mishchenko2.0011117362WAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101LAug 21 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.5311128113V. Mishchenko2.388101181WAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.831111113A. Lievshin1.835650WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
A. Yurkov10
WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101LAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
Upcoming Matches
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A. Yurkov
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