TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015097
Played Aug 26Finished
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119811511––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Mishchenko above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 62.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Mishchenko 2–4 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Vladyslav Mishchenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Seliuchenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1592 vs Seliuchenko 1795
Seliuchenko
Correct
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Seliuchenko 60%
Seliuchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 40% vs Seliuchenko 60%
Seliuchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -2 · Seliuchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Seliuchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.25 / Seliuchenko 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015097
Mishchenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Seliuchenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 84 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it75% 70 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMishchenko2wins
AwaySeliuchenko4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySeliuchenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko1Seliuchenko5n = 6Seliuchenko took 5 of 6
S2Mishchenko3Seliuchenko3n = 6split evenly
S3Mishchenko3Seliuchenko3n = 6split evenly
S4Mishchenko1Seliuchenko4n = 5Seliuchenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricMishchenkoSeliuchenkoM − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match39.841.8−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 422 vs 170 / 27946.7%60.9%197 / 422 vs 170 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoMishchenko 2.25/Seliuchenko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko—811851O. Seliuchenko—11911113
WAug 12 · 08:20V. Mishchenko—1181111173O. Seliuchenko—711913152
WJul 22 · 06:50V. Mishchenko—81311113O. Seliuchenko—1111641
LJul 17 · 13:10V. Mishchenko—91150O. Seliuchenko—1113113
LMar 6 · 11:40V. Mishchenko—1561191O. Seliuchenko—17116113
LFeb 9 · 18:10V. Mishchenko—9111191O. Seliuchenko—11713113
V. Mishchenko10
LAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792LAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.101012851A. Hrabskyi1.67121011113LAug 21 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.73641111113V. Mishchenko2.0011117362WAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101LAug 21 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.5311128113V. Mishchenko2.388101181WAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.831111113A. Lievshin1.835650WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113
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