TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467001
Played Aug 21Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611411117113116
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Mishchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Vladyslav Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 81 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Vladyslav Mishchenko at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 35–40 Vladyslav Mishchenko Vladimir Voronenko has won 35 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Voronenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-40 in 75
Mishchenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1598 vs Mishchenko 1655
Mishchenko
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 60% vs Mishchenko 80%
Mishchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 60% vs Mishchenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko +1 · Mishchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mishchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 1.73 / Mishchenko 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Voronenko)-7.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12467001
Voronenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 31 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Mishchenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko7wins
AwayMishchenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVoronenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko100%5 of 5
AwayMishchenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko5Mishchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Voronenko7Mishchenko3n = 10Voronenko took 7 of 10
S3Voronenko8Mishchenko2n = 10Voronenko took 8 of 10
S4Voronenko3Mishchenko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoMishchenkoV − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.732.8+3.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 530 vs 196 / 41544.9%47.2%238 / 530 vs 196 / 415Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoronenkoVoronenko 1.73/Mishchenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 13:10V. Voronenko—81111113V. Mishchenko—118731
LAug 7 · 16:40V. Voronenko—4460V. Mishchenko—1111113
WAug 3 · 15:10V. Voronenko—31111113V. Mishchenko—118461
WJul 27 · 15:10V. Voronenko—127119113V. Mishchenko—101161182
WJul 24 · 15:10V. Voronenko—1611113V. Mishchenko—14660
WJul 20 · 10:40V. Voronenko—11118113V. Mishchenko—691191
LJul 17 · 14:40V. Voronenko—81311972V. Mishchenko—1111211113
WJul 13 · 15:10V. Voronenko—1211113V. Mishchenko—10960
WJul 10 · 12:40V. Voronenko—1111113V. Mishchenko—8570
LJul 6 · 16:40V. Voronenko—881151V. Mishchenko—11116113
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940
V. Mishchenko10
LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko2.25811851O. Seliuchenko1.5711911113LAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792LAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.101012851A. Hrabskyi1.67121011113WAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101LAug 21 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.5311128113V. Mishchenko2.388101181WAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.831111113A. Lievshin1.835650WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
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