TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12466990
Played Aug 21Finished
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121210811511––
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Mishchenko above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 79 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 56.8%
79 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Mishchenko 15–21 Andrii Hrabskyi Vladyslav Mishchenko has won 15 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrabskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-21 in 36
Hrabskyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1619 vs Hrabskyi 1659
Hrabskyi
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 60% vs Hrabskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 40% vs Hrabskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -1 · Hrabskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hrabskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.10 / Hrabskyi 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hrabskyi)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12466990
Mishchenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Hrabskyi1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite50% won 58 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it73% 44 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko3wins
AwayHrabskyi7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko75%3 of 4
AwayHrabskyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S2Mishchenko5Hrabskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Mishchenko3Hrabskyi7n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S4Mishchenko4Hrabskyi3n = 7Mishchenko took 4 of 7
S5Mishchenko1Hrabskyi3n = 4Hrabskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoHrabskyiM − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.643.1−2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 417 vs 205 / 46647%44%196 / 417 vs 205 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiMishchenko 2.10/Hrabskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko—1012851A. Hrabskyi—121011113
WAug 14 · 15:10V. Mishchenko—1111113A. Hrabskyi—9970
LAug 12 · 09:50V. Mishchenko—10980A. Hrabskyi—1211113
LAug 7 · 14:40V. Mishchenko—111161492A. Hrabskyi—881116113
LAug 3 · 17:10V. Mishchenko—911771A. Hrabskyi—11911113
WJul 29 · 12:20V. Mishchenko—115911113A. Hrabskyi—81111992
LJul 27 · 17:10V. Mishchenko—89160A. Hrabskyi—1111183
LJul 24 · 17:10V. Mishchenko—913111162A. Hrabskyi—111598113
LJul 13 · 10:40V. Mishchenko—129131182A. Hrabskyi—1411117113
WJul 8 · 12:20V. Mishchenko—12119113A. Hrabskyi—1061191
V. Mishchenko10
LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko2.25811851O. Seliuchenko1.5711911113LAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792LAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.73641111113V. Mishchenko2.0011117362WAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101LAug 21 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.5311128113V. Mishchenko2.388101181WAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.831111113A. Lievshin1.835650WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi1.73114411113P. Plakushchyi2.0071111892WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113
Upcoming Matches
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A. Hrabskyi
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