TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089318
Played Sep 7Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311811118511117
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 79.3% is still 79.3%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
79.3%
79.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 79.3%
96 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 4–16 Anatolii Lievshin Andrii Hrabskyi has won 4 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:02What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-16 in 20
Lievshin
Wrong
gap of 12 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1663 vs Lievshin 1721
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 80% vs Lievshin 60%
Hrabskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 50% vs Lievshin 80%
Lievshin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi +4 · Lievshin +1
Hrabskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 3.75 / Lievshin 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Lievshin)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13089318
Hrabskyi3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 117 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back26% 43 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 88
Lievshin1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 114 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it82% 90 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi2wins
AwayLievshin8wins
Lievshin leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLievshin88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi1Lievshin9n = 10Lievshin took 9 of 10
S2Hrabskyi2Lievshin8n = 10Lievshin took 8 of 10
S3Hrabskyi3Lievshin7n = 10Lievshin took 7 of 10
S4Hrabskyi2Lievshin2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiLievshinH − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.235.0−7.8per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 500 vs 168 / 29844%56.4%220 / 500 vs 168 / 298Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinHrabskyi 3.75/Lievshin 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.3%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi—5511101A. Lievshin—11119123
LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi—3560A. Lievshin—1111113
LSep 1 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi—6760A. Lievshin—1111113
LAug 31 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi—9960A. Lievshin—1111113
WAug 26 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi—111112113A. Lievshin—361491
LAug 25 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi—941141A. Lievshin—11116113
LAug 24 · 12:40A. Hrabskyi—8750A. Lievshin—1111113
WAug 21 · 12:40A. Hrabskyi—71111123A. Lievshin—1169101
LAug 19 · 09:20A. Hrabskyi—9870A. Lievshin—1111113
LAug 18 · 14:30A. Hrabskyi—11780A. Lievshin—1311113
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi1.73114411113P. Plakushchyi2.0071111892WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392
A. Lievshin10
WSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.7361090A. Lievshin2.001112113LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113WSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra1.73811561A. Lievshin2.0011511113
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