TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088944
Played Sep 7Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117411411118119
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 87 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 54.1%
87 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 7–4 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hrabskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Hrabskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1653 vs Plakushchyi 1652
Hrabskyi
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 60% vs Plakushchyi 40%
Hrabskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Plakushchyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi +3 · Plakushchyi -2
Hrabskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrabskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 1.73 / Plakushchyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrabskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088944
Hrabskyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 62 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 49 of 68
Plakushchyi2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 87 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi6wins
AwayPlakushchyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayPlakushchyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi7Plakushchyi3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S2Hrabskyi4Plakushchyi6n = 10Plakushchyi took 6 of 10
S3Hrabskyi6Plakushchyi4n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S4Hrabskyi2Plakushchyi5n = 7Plakushchyi took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiPlakushchyiH − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.637.4+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 499 vs 307 / 68743.9%44.7%219 / 499 vs 307 / 687Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.935.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiHrabskyi 1.73/Plakushchyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—119671P. Plakushchyi—8111193
WJul 31 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi—1191212113P. Plakushchyi—911101482
WJun 17 · 09:20A. Hrabskyi—1411113P. Plakushchyi—12880
LJun 3 · 10:49A. Hrabskyi—7131081P. Plakushchyi—111112113
WJun 3 · 06:50A. Hrabskyi—117118113P. Plakushchyi—81191192
WJun 2 · 17:20A. Hrabskyi—11116113P. Plakushchyi—691141
WMay 13 · 09:20A. Hrabskyi—11611113P. Plakushchyi—811981
LMay 12 · 20:20A. Hrabskyi—581171P. Plakushchyi—11118113
WMay 5 · 20:20A. Hrabskyi—1111113P. Plakushchyi—9490
LApr 29 · 09:20A. Hrabskyi—8970P. Plakushchyi—1111113
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392LSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113LSep 1 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.839101161Y. Shmyndra1.8311127113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732LSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi2.25101050O. Gavryshko1.571212113WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113LSep 3 · 17:55S. Ponomarenko1.20113911113P. Plakushchyi4.3351111672LSep 3 · 16:55P. Plakushchyi3.75581111102M. Makienko1.25111184123LSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov2.751112113P. Plakushchyi1.4071070WSep 3 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi1.5761111113O. Kovalchuk2.25118781
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