TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467195
Played Aug 21Finished
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11812104111210––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladyslav Mishchenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 78 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 61.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Mishchenko 38–56 Artem Yurkov Vladyslav Mishchenko has won 38 of their 94 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-56 in 94
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 18 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1640 vs Yurkov 1742
Yurkov
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 60% vs Yurkov 40%
Mishchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 40% vs Yurkov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -1 · Yurkov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.25 / Yurkov 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Yurkov)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467195
Mishchenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Yurkov1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 217 of 362
Up 2–0, closes it92% 84 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it72% 144 of 200
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko5wins
AwayYurkov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko50%2 of 4
AwayYurkov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Mishchenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S3Mishchenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Mishchenko4Yurkov4n = 8split evenly
S5Mishchenko3Yurkov2n = 5Mishchenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoYurkovM − YBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.143.0−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 414 vs 600 / 98947.1%60.7%195 / 414 vs 600 / 989Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.241.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovMishchenko 2.25/Yurkov 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko—912514113A. Yurkov—1110111292
LAug 12 · 06:20V. Mishchenko—71180A. Yurkov—1113113
WAug 7 · 11:10V. Mishchenko—1411510113A. Yurkov—129111272
LAug 3 · 11:40V. Mishchenko—67100A. Yurkov—1111123
WJul 29 · 09:20V. Mishchenko—10191111113A. Yurkov—12218682
LJul 27 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—671151A. Yurkov—11115113
WJul 24 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—11119113A. Yurkov—781151
LJul 22 · 09:20V. Mishchenko—111111672A. Yurkov—913611113
WJul 20 · 16:10V. Mishchenko—71112113A. Yurkov—1171091
LJul 17 · 11:10V. Mishchenko—11119542A. Yurkov—941111113
V. Mishchenko10
LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko2.25811851O. Seliuchenko1.5711911113LAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792LAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.101012851A. Hrabskyi1.67121011113LAug 21 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.73641111113V. Mishchenko2.0011117362LAug 21 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.5311128113V. Mishchenko2.388101181WAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.831111113A. Lievshin1.835650WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
A. Yurkov10
WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
Upcoming Matches
V. Mishchenko
Nothing scheduled
A. Yurkov
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