TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015107
Played Aug 26Finished
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117511211117119
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladyslav Mishchenko above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 85 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Mishchenko 4–1 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Mishchenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1592 vs Lievshin 1711
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Lievshin 80%
Lievshin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 40% vs Lievshin 70%
Lievshin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -3 · Lievshin +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.00 / Lievshin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lievshin)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13015107
Mishchenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 45 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Lievshin1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 105 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it82% 82 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMishchenko4wins
AwayLievshin1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMishchenko leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko100%4 of 4
AwayLievshinn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko4Lievshin1n = 5Mishchenko took 4 of 5
S2Mishchenko4Lievshin1n = 5Mishchenko took 4 of 5
S3Mishchenko2Lievshin3n = 5Lievshin took 3 of 5
S4Mishchenko2Lievshin1n = 3Mishchenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMishchenkoLievshinM − LBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match37.831.2+6.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 422 vs 155 / 27246.7%57%197 / 422 vs 155 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinMishchenko 2.00/Lievshin 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko—115211113A. Lievshin—71111792
WAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko—1111113A. Lievshin—5650
LAug 14 · 14:10V. Mishchenko—1011981A. Lievshin—12711113
WAug 12 · 10:50V. Mishchenko—13118133A. Lievshin—11311111
WAug 7 · 15:40V. Mishchenko—1111113A. Lievshin—5670
V. Mishchenko10
LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko2.25811851O. Seliuchenko1.5711911113LAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113LAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.101012851A. Hrabskyi1.67121011113LAug 21 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.73641111113V. Mishchenko2.0011117362WAug 21 · 14:10V. Mishchenko2.2511124123A. Yurkov1.5781011101LAug 21 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.5311128113V. Mishchenko2.388101181WAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.831111113A. Lievshin1.835650WAug 14 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.00912514113A. Yurkov1.731110111292
A. Lievshin10
LSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850LSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.7361090A. Lievshin2.001112113LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113LAug 21 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.831111113A. Lievshin1.835650
Upcoming Matches
V. Mishchenko
Nothing scheduled
A. Lievshin
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