TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089062
Played Sep 7Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11611131412111––
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 79 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 69.6%
79 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 2–1 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1696 vs Plakushchyi 1616
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 40% vs Plakushchyi 0%
Lievshin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 60% vs Plakushchyi 20%
Lievshin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin -2 · Plakushchyi -5
Plakushchyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lievshin) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.36 / Plakushchyi 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Lievshin)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089062
Lievshin1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 114 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it82% 90 of 110
Plakushchyi3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 87 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLievshin2wins
AwayPlakushchyi1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderLievshin leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin2Plakushchyi1n = 3Lievshin took 2 of 3
S2Lievshin3Plakushchyi0n = 3Lievshin took 3 of 3
S3Lievshin1Plakushchyi2n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLievshinPlakushchyiL − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.730.3+4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 300 vs 302 / 68056%44.4%168 / 300 vs 302 / 680Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.36/Plakushchyi 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 31 · 16:10A. Lievshin—61131112P. Plakushchyi—119118113
WAug 28 · 14:10A. Lievshin—11116113P. Plakushchyi—731171
WJul 31 · 16:40A. Lievshin—1111113P. Plakushchyi—4630
A. Lievshin10
LSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162LSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850LSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.7361090A. Lievshin2.001112113LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 7 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.30111111113P. Plakushchyi3.40137641LSep 7 · 14:40V. Marushchak2.001111113P. Plakushchyi1.738670LSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi1.73114411113P. Plakushchyi2.0071111892LSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732LSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi2.25101050O. Gavryshko1.571212113WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113
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