TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089259
Played Sep 7Finished
Artem Yurkov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14121171113911116
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 105 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 56.6%
105 points played in total.
H2H Artem Yurkov 7–9 Anatolii Lievshin Artem Yurkov has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Lievshin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1655 vs Lievshin 1705
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 60% vs Lievshin 40%
Yurkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 60% vs Lievshin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov -1 · Lievshin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 2.10 / Lievshin 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Lievshin)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089259
Yurkov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Lievshin1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 114 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it82% 90 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov4wins
AwayLievshin6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov66.7%4 of 6
AwayLievshin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov6Lievshin4n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Yurkov5Lievshin5n = 10split evenly
S3Yurkov5Lievshin5n = 10split evenly
S4Yurkov0Lievshin8n = 8Lievshin took 8 of 8
S5Yurkov3Lievshin2n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovLievshinY − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.342.6−5.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime589 / 989 vs 169 / 30159.6%56.2%589 / 989 vs 169 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinYurkov 2.10/Lievshin 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 11:20A. Yurkov—671171A. Lievshin—11116113
LAug 25 · 19:00A. Yurkov—1211117102A. Lievshin—145711123
WAug 24 · 17:40A. Yurkov—115124133A. Lievshin—7111011112
LAug 21 · 17:40A. Yurkov—111310782A. Lievshin—9111211113
WAug 19 · 06:50A. Yurkov—111174133A. Lievshin—981111112
LAug 18 · 16:30A. Yurkov—5830A. Lievshin—1111113
WAug 17 · 17:40A. Yurkov—116112113A. Lievshin—81181172
LAug 14 · 16:10A. Yurkov—1131361A. Lievshin—81115113
LAug 12 · 12:50A. Yurkov—712721A. Lievshin—111011113
WAug 11 · 12:30A. Yurkov—1111113A. Lievshin—7650
A. Yurkov10
LSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113
A. Lievshin10
WSep 7 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.36111114113P. Plakushchyi3.006131211LSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850LSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.7361090A. Lievshin2.001112113LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Yurkov
Nothing scheduled
A. Lievshin
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