TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089389
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113117116114––
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolbasenko above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 74 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 73.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolbasenko 2–2 Pavel Plakushchyi Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1744 vs Plakushchyi 1606
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 80% vs Plakushchyi 0%
Kolbasenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 70% vs Plakushchyi 20%
Kolbasenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko +4 · Plakushchyi -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 1.30 / Plakushchyi 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089389
Kolbasenko1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 66 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it85% 50 of 59
Plakushchyi3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 87 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolbasenko2wins
AwayPlakushchyi2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPlakushchyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko1Plakushchyi3n = 4Plakushchyi took 3 of 4
S2Kolbasenko1Plakushchyi2n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
S3Kolbasenko3Plakushchyi0n = 3Kolbasenko took 3 of 3
S4Kolbasenko2Plakushchyi1n = 3Kolbasenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoPlakushchyiK − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.229.5+6.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 322 vs 302 / 68153.1%44.4%171 / 322 vs 302 / 681Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.935.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoKolbasenko 1.30/Plakushchyi 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 10 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko—20P. Plakushchyi—31
WJun 26 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko—11511113P. Plakushchyi—511491
WMay 6 · 11:18O. Kolbasenko—911119113P. Plakushchyi—11471132
LMay 6 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko—1112111192P. Plakushchyi—131466113
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 7 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.50971271O. Kolbasenko1.50111110113WSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850WSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123WSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113WAug 26 · 09:20O. Kolbasenko1.7311116113A. Lievshin2.00671171LAug 26 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko1.9111611113O. Kolbasenko1.80611741WAug 26 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko1.507111111113A. Hrabskyi2.5011136652LAug 24 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.6311811113O. Kolbasenko1.44511821
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 7 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.36111114113P. Plakushchyi3.006131211LSep 7 · 14:40V. Marushchak2.001111113P. Plakushchyi1.738670LSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi1.73114411113P. Plakushchyi2.0071111892LSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732LSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi2.25101050O. Gavryshko1.571212113WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113
Upcoming Matches
O. Kolbasenko
P. Plakushchyi
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.