TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088802
Played Sep 7Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9117111210711––
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Oleksandr Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 64.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 5–23 Oleksandr Kolbasenko Andrii Hrabskyi has won 5 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-23 in 28
Kolbasenko
Correct
gap of 18 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1664 vs Kolbasenko 1735
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 80% vs Kolbasenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 60% vs Kolbasenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi -1 · Kolbasenko +3
Kolbasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kolbasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 2.50 / Kolbasenko 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088802
Hrabskyi2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 117 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back26% 43 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 88
Kolbasenko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 66 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it85% 50 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi2wins
AwayKolbasenko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi28.6%2 of 7
AwayKolbasenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi7Kolbasenko3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S2Hrabskyi3Kolbasenko7n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S3Hrabskyi3Kolbasenko7n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S4Hrabskyi4Kolbasenko5n = 9Kolbasenko took 5 of 9
S5Hrabskyi0Kolbasenko4n = 4Kolbasenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiKolbasenkoH − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.942.5−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 502 vs 170 / 32144%53%221 / 502 vs 170 / 321Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoHrabskyi 2.50/Kolbasenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 06:50A. Hrabskyi—11136652O. Kolbasenko—7111111113
LAug 24 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—6111311102O. Kolbasenko—116158123
LAug 17 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—1311771O. Kolbasenko—111311113
WAug 10 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi—111110113O. Kolbasenko—991261
LAug 3 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—1391071O. Kolbasenko—111112113
LJul 27 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—741191O. Kolbasenko—11118113
WJul 6 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi—11511113O. Kolbasenko—311981
LJun 19 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi—111011662O. Kolbasenko—512511113
LJun 12 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi—11271182O. Kolbasenko—611117113
LMay 29 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi—8520O. Kolbasenko—1111113
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 7 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.91581151V. Marushchak1.8011117113LSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi1.73114411113P. Plakushchyi2.0071111892WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850WSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123WSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113WAug 26 · 09:20O. Kolbasenko1.7311116113A. Lievshin2.00671171LAug 26 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko1.9111611113O. Kolbasenko1.80611741WAug 26 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko1.507111111113A. Hrabskyi2.5011136652LAug 24 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.6311811113O. Kolbasenko1.44511821LAug 24 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.5711118692A. Lievshin2.25671111113
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