TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055536
Played Sep 1Finished
Artem Yurkov
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119211411––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 66 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 54.5%
66 points played in total.
H2H Artem Yurkov 7–9 Anatolii Lievshin Artem Yurkov has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Lievshin
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1633 vs Lievshin 1626
Yurkov
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 40% vs Lievshin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 50% vs Lievshin 30%
Yurkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov +1 · Lievshin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 2.00 / Lievshin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Lievshin)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055536
Yurkov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 36 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Lievshin1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 107 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it81% 84 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov4wins
AwayLievshin6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov66.7%4 of 6
AwayLievshin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov6Lievshin4n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Yurkov5Lievshin5n = 10split evenly
S3Yurkov5Lievshin5n = 10split evenly
S4Yurkov0Lievshin8n = 8Lievshin took 8 of 8
S5Yurkov3Lievshin2n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovLievshinY − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.342.6−5.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime592 / 990 vs 159 / 28659.8%55.6%592 / 990 vs 159 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinYurkov 2.00/Lievshin 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 11:20A. Yurkov—671171A. Lievshin—11116113
LAug 25 · 19:00A. Yurkov—1211117102A. Lievshin—145711123
WAug 24 · 17:40A. Yurkov—115124133A. Lievshin—7111011112
LAug 21 · 17:40A. Yurkov—111310782A. Lievshin—9111211113
WAug 19 · 06:50A. Yurkov—111174133A. Lievshin—981111112
LAug 18 · 16:30A. Yurkov—5830A. Lievshin—1111113
WAug 17 · 17:40A. Yurkov—116112113A. Lievshin—81181172
LAug 14 · 16:10A. Yurkov—1131361A. Lievshin—81115113
LAug 12 · 12:50A. Yurkov—712721A. Lievshin—111011113
WAug 11 · 12:30A. Yurkov—1111113A. Lievshin—7650
A. Yurkov10
WSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162LSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123
A. Lievshin10
LSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162WSep 7 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.36111114113P. Plakushchyi3.006131211LSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850LSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.7361090A. Lievshin2.001112113LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123
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