TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055546
Played Sep 1Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
61111713111311––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 83 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 67.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 52–25 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Oleksandr Strutinskiy has won 25 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-25 in 77
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 27 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1769 vs Strutinskiy 1753
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 60% vs Strutinskiy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 60% vs Strutinskiy 80%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk +2 · Strutinskiy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 1.40 / Strutinskiy 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Savoliuk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055546
Savoliuk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 128 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it87% 93 of 107
Strutinskiy2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 64 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk6wins
AwayStrutinskiy4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk85.7%6 of 7
AwayStrutinskiy100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk7Strutinskiy3n = 10Savoliuk took 7 of 10
S2Savoliuk6Strutinskiy4n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S3Savoliuk3Strutinskiy7n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S4Savoliuk5Strutinskiy1n = 6Savoliuk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukStrutinskiySavoliuk − StrutinskiyBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.132.6+2.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 502 vs 402 / 78457.4%51.3%288 / 502 vs 402 / 784Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukSavoliuk 1.40/Strutinskiy 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 14:00V. Savoliuk—12640O. Strutinskiy—1411113
WAug 28 · 05:50V. Savoliuk—12911113O. Strutinskiy—1011481
LAug 25 · 09:50V. Savoliuk—119431O. Strutinskiy—91111113
WAug 24 · 16:00V. Savoliuk—1111123O. Strutinskiy—59100
WAug 15 · 12:50V. Savoliuk—1111113O. Strutinskiy—8480
WAug 14 · 12:30V. Savoliuk—111110113O. Strutinskiy—971231
LAug 11 · 11:20V. Savoliuk—5950O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WAug 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk—11118113O. Strutinskiy—581141
LAug 7 · 05:50V. Savoliuk—51191282O. Strutinskiy—1121110113
WJul 21 · 11:20V. Savoliuk—121110113O. Strutinskiy—1051271
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101LAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.501112113V. Savoliuk1.5081060
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172LSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123
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