TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089248
Played Sep 7Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114113––––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 51 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 54.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 12–13 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Maksym Mrykh has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strutinskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1700 vs Strutinskiy 1713
Strutinskiy
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 60% vs Strutinskiy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 60% vs Strutinskiy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh -2 · Strutinskiy -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 2.00 / Strutinskiy 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089248
Mrykh2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Strutinskiy1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 152 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it87% 77 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it74% 109 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh5wins
AwayStrutinskiy5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh100%4 of 4
AwayStrutinskiy83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S2Mrykh4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S3Mrykh5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Mrykh3Strutinskiy1n = 4Mrykh took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhStrutinskiyM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.633.7−2.1per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 476 vs 401 / 78546%51.1%219 / 476 vs 401 / 785Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyMrykh 2.00/Strutinskiy 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 10:50M. Mrykh—11411113O. Strutinskiy—711671
LAug 20 · 19:00M. Mrykh—33100O. Strutinskiy—1111123
LAug 18 · 09:50M. Mrykh—5880O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WAug 15 · 07:20M. Mrykh—1013611113O. Strutinskiy—121111442
LAug 6 · 17:44M. Mrykh—3570O. Strutinskiy—1111113
LAug 6 · 12:00M. Mrykh—91130O. Strutinskiy—1113113
WAug 26 · 20:20M. Mrykh—1113113O. Strutinskiy—91120
WAug 25 · 14:40M. Mrykh—1111113O. Strutinskiy—8980
WAug 20 · 08:50M. Mrykh—111011113O. Strutinskiy—712471
LAug 13 · 06:20M. Mrykh—41112962O. Strutinskiy—1191011113
M. Mrykh10
LSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192LSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142WSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 21 · 11:50M. Deineha1.5791180M. Mrykh2.251113113
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.758750V. Savoliuk1.401111113LSep 7 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310890WSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko2.63111080O. Strutinskiy1.441312113WSep 7 · 12:30V. Maksuta2.00117761O. Strutinskiy1.7361111113WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271
Upcoming Matches
M. Mrykh
O. Strutinskiy
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.