TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089269
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111210119811119
Maksym Mrykh
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 67.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 13–1 Maksym Mrykh Maksym Mrykh has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Maksuta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-1 in 14
Maksuta
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1624 vs Mrykh 1713
Mrykh
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 20% vs Mrykh 60%
Mrykh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Mrykh 70%
Mrykh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta +1 · Mrykh -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.36 / Mrykh 3.00
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Maksuta)-0.9pp
Setka Cup · #13089269
Maksuta1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 86 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it82% 70 of 85
Mrykh3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksuta9wins
AwayMrykh1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMaksuta leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta100%7 of 7
AwayMrykh33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta7Mrykh3n = 10Maksuta took 7 of 10
S2Maksuta7Mrykh3n = 10Maksuta took 7 of 10
S3Maksuta6Mrykh4n = 10Maksuta took 6 of 10
S4Maksuta5Mrykh3n = 8Maksuta took 5 of 8
S5Maksuta4Mrykh1n = 5Maksuta took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksutaMrykhMaksuta − MrykhBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.136.7+6.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 281 vs 219 / 47557.7%46.1%162 / 281 vs 219 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaMaksuta 1.36/Mrykh 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 17:00V. Maksuta—1111113M. Mrykh—1740
LAug 6 · 14:30V. Maksuta—21181162M. Mrykh—113118113
WJul 16 · 13:40V. Maksuta—111011113M. Mrykh—512551
WJul 14 · 17:10V. Maksuta—71111123M. Mrykh—1198101
WJul 9 · 11:40V. Maksuta—1111511123M. Mrykh—813118102
WJul 8 · 15:40V. Maksuta—13117123M. Mrykh—11611101
WJun 22 · 22:40V. Maksuta—1111610113M. Mrykh—89111252
WJun 11 · 11:10V. Maksuta—912116113M. Mrykh—111061182
WJun 3 · 16:40V. Maksuta—1111113M. Mrykh—8860
WMay 27 · 15:10V. Maksuta—1191110113M. Mrykh—61191272
V. Maksuta10
LSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 12:30V. Maksuta2.00117761O. Strutinskiy1.7361111113LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671
M. Mrykh10
WSep 7 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310430LSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142WSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 21 · 11:50M. Deineha1.5791180M. Mrykh2.251113113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.