TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089096
Played Sep 7Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711118711114
Maksym Mrykh
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Mrykh to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Maksym Mrykh at 65.7%
88 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 5–8 Maksym Mrykh Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:01What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mrykh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Mrykh
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1663 vs Mrykh 1725
Mrykh
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 20% vs Mrykh 80%
Mrykh
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 40% vs Mrykh 80%
Mrykh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko -2 · Mrykh +3
Mrykh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Mrykh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 2.63 / Mrykh 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Mrykh)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13089096
Hrytsenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back30% 28 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 54
Mrykh1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 57 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko3wins
AwayMrykh7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayMrykh71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko3Mrykh7n = 10Mrykh took 7 of 10
S2Hrytsenko2Mrykh8n = 10Mrykh took 8 of 10
S3Hrytsenko3Mrykh7n = 10Mrykh took 7 of 10
S4Hrytsenko3Mrykh3n = 6split evenly
S5Hrytsenko2Mrykh1n = 3Hrytsenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoMrykhH − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.136.3−1.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 646 vs 219 / 47449.2%46.2%318 / 646 vs 219 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrykhHrytsenko 2.63/Mrykh 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Mrykh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko—9860M. Mrykh—1111113
WAug 18 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko—781111113M. Mrykh—11114882
LJul 19 · 08:00E. Hrytsenko—13891172M. Mrykh—1111111113
LJul 14 · 10:40E. Hrytsenko—7890M. Mrykh—1111113
LJul 9 · 13:10E. Hrytsenko—116951M. Mrykh—31111113
WJul 8 · 16:40E. Hrytsenko—1111910113M. Mrykh—32111282
LJul 2 · 14:10E. Hrytsenko—5590M. Mrykh—1111113
LJun 18 · 16:40E. Hrytsenko—81090M. Mrykh—1112113
LJun 3 · 15:10E. Hrytsenko—71011101M. Mrykh—11126123
WMay 21 · 10:40E. Hrytsenko—81111113M. Mrykh—113881
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122LSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko2.63111080O. Strutinskiy1.441312113LSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113
M. Mrykh10
WSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 21 · 11:50M. Deineha1.5791180M. Mrykh2.251113113WAug 21 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3811411113O. Strutinskiy1.53711671WAug 21 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.25111239113A. Derevianko1.57810111182
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.