TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088687
Played Sep 7Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12108117111210118
Volodymir Maksuta
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Volodymir Maksuta below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 100 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 12–13 Volodymir Maksuta Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hrytsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1688 vs Maksuta 1637
Hrytsenko
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 60% vs Maksuta 40%
Hrytsenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 50% vs Maksuta 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +2 · Maksuta +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrytsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksuta form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 1.80 / Maksuta 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrytsenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13088687
Hrytsenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 60 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Maksuta1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko7wins
AwayMaksuta3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrytsenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko62.5%5 of 8
AwayMaksutan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko8Maksuta2n = 10Hrytsenko took 8 of 10
S2Hrytsenko7Maksuta3n = 10Hrytsenko took 7 of 10
S3Hrytsenko6Maksuta4n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S4Hrytsenko5Maksuta2n = 7Hrytsenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoMaksutaH − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.532.5+5.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoMaksutaBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 648 vs 163 / 28249.4%57.8%320 / 648 vs 163 / 282Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoHrytsenko 1.80/Maksuta 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko—1111113V. Maksuta—3980
LAug 31 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko—123671V. Maksuta—101111113
WAug 17 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko—91211113V. Maksuta—1110761
WJul 30 · 17:40E. Hrytsenko—1111113V. Maksuta—5690
WJul 29 · 11:40E. Hrytsenko—11115113V. Maksuta—551151
LJul 23 · 15:40E. Hrytsenko—11781152V. Maksuta—311118113
WJul 14 · 15:10E. Hrytsenko—11125123V. Maksuta—51011101
WJul 9 · 15:40E. Hrytsenko—41111113V. Maksuta—118721
LJul 8 · 13:40E. Hrytsenko—116129102V. Maksuta—8111011123
WJun 3 · 13:10E. Hrytsenko—1111113V. Maksuta—9940
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142LSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko2.63111080O. Strutinskiy1.441312113LSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113
V. Maksuta10
WSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192WSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 12:30V. Maksuta2.00117761O. Strutinskiy1.7361111113LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671
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