TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094465
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116115––––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Derevianko to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 48 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Andrii Derevianko at 67.9%
48 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 37–8 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 8 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Derevianko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-8 in 45
Derevianko
Correct
gap of 29 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1729 vs Zhyrnov 1745
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 60% vs Zhyrnov 80%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 70% vs Zhyrnov 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko -1 · Zhyrnov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Derevianko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 1.40 / Zhyrnov 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Derevianko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13094465
Derevianko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 80 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Zhyrnov2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko8wins
AwayZhyrnov2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDerevianko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko75%6 of 8
AwayZhyrnovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko8Zhyrnov2n = 10Derevianko took 8 of 10
S2Derevianko7Zhyrnov3n = 10Derevianko took 7 of 10
S3Derevianko5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S4Derevianko6Zhyrnov2n = 8Derevianko took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoZhyrnovD − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.133.7+6.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 977 vs 381 / 76447.6%49.9%465 / 977 vs 381 / 764Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoDerevianko 1.40/Zhyrnov 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 25 · 10:20A. Derevianko—41111143O. Zhyrnov—1179121
WJul 24 · 06:20A. Derevianko—119611113O. Zhyrnov—81111772
WJun 19 · 08:20A. Derevianko—11611113O. Zhyrnov—811991
WJun 18 · 17:50A. Derevianko—1111113O. Zhyrnov—6340
WJun 6 · 07:50A. Derevianko—11118113O. Zhyrnov—671181
LMay 12 · 09:20A. Derevianko—12169962O. Zhyrnov—10141111113
WMay 8 · 08:20A. Derevianko—1111113O. Zhyrnov—3930
WMay 7 · 20:50A. Derevianko—11115113O. Zhyrnov—881171
LApr 16 · 19:20A. Derevianko—1110971O. Zhyrnov—61211113
WApr 9 · 12:40A. Derevianko—71111113O. Zhyrnov—118431
A. Derevianko10
LSep 8 · 07:20A. Derevianko2.00117111172O. Strutinskiy1.73131159113WSep 8 · 05:50A. Derevianko2.25513116113I. Nitchenko1.57111141182WSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.50711116113V. Savoliuk1.5011961162LSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310890WSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620
O. Zhyrnov10
LSep 8 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.20111010101I. Nitchenko1.6171212123WSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh1.44116591O. Zhyrnov2.6341111113WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113
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