TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094593
Played Sep 8Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114611511911––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Mrykh to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 68 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Maksym Mrykh at 65.7%
68 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 10–6 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:43What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mrykh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-6 in 16
Mrykh
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1704 vs Zhyrnov 1763
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 60% vs Zhyrnov 80%
Zhyrnov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 60% vs Zhyrnov 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh +1 · Zhyrnov +3
Zhyrnov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mrykh) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 1.44 / Zhyrnov 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Mrykh)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094593
Mrykh1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 57 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Zhyrnov2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh7wins
AwayZhyrnov3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh85.7%6 of 7
AwayZhyrnov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh7Zhyrnov3n = 10Mrykh took 7 of 10
S2Mrykh6Zhyrnov4n = 10Mrykh took 6 of 10
S3Mrykh4Zhyrnov6n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S4Mrykh3Zhyrnov2n = 5Mrykh took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhZhyrnovM − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.031.6+6.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 478 vs 381 / 76346%49.9%220 / 478 vs 381 / 763Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrykhMrykh 1.44/Zhyrnov 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Mrykh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh—116591O. Zhyrnov—41111113
WJul 26 · 09:35M. Mrykh—1112113O. Zhyrnov—81090
WJul 22 · 10:40M. Mrykh—11711123O. Zhyrnov—4118101
WJul 19 · 09:00M. Mrykh—11118113O. Zhyrnov—511171
LJul 16 · 16:40M. Mrykh—101180O. Zhyrnov—1213113
LJul 14 · 14:40M. Mrykh—12980O. Zhyrnov—1411113
WJul 9 · 15:10M. Mrykh—1112113O. Zhyrnov—41090
WJul 8 · 11:10M. Mrykh—1311811113O. Zhyrnov—15511562
WJul 2 · 15:10M. Mrykh—11111011113O. Zhyrnov—53121342
WJun 25 · 10:40M. Mrykh—1111113O. Zhyrnov—6960
M. Mrykh10
WSep 7 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310430LSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192LSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142WSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292
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