TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094469
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1183111210114––
Maksym Mrykh
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Derevianko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 70 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Andrii Derevianko at 59.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 90–40 Maksym Mrykh Maksym Mrykh has won 40 of their 130 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:06What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Derevianko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
90-40 in 130
Derevianko
Correct
gap of 50 in 130, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1743 vs Mrykh 1677
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 60% vs Mrykh 20%
Derevianko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 70% vs Mrykh 40%
Derevianko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko +1 · Mrykh -3
Mrykh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Derevianko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 1.61 / Mrykh 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Derevianko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13094469
Derevianko1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 80 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Mrykh2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 32 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko5wins
AwayMrykh5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko100%3 of 3
AwayMrykh71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko3Mrykh7n = 10Mrykh took 7 of 10
S2Derevianko6Mrykh4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S3Derevianko6Mrykh4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S4Derevianko6Mrykh1n = 7Derevianko took 6 of 7
S5Derevianko0Mrykh3n = 3Mrykh took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoMrykhD − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.335.0+3.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 978 vs 220 / 48047.7%45.8%466 / 978 vs 220 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoDerevianko 1.61/Mrykh 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko—711116102M. Mrykh—118511123
WSep 1 · 10:50A. Derevianko—71113113M. Mrykh—1131191
LAug 21 · 09:50A. Derevianko—810111182M. Mrykh—111239113
WAug 18 · 11:50A. Derevianko—11812113M. Mrykh—6111061
LAug 15 · 10:20A. Derevianko—7770M. Mrykh—1111113
LAug 6 · 16:00A. Derevianko—101181192M. Mrykh—129118113
WAug 1 · 07:50A. Derevianko—11114113M. Mrykh—851161
WJul 28 · 11:08A. Derevianko—1111113M. Mrykh—1150
WJul 28 · 09:20A. Derevianko—61111173M. Mrykh—1137151
LJul 27 · 12:00A. Derevianko—9660M. Mrykh—1111113
A. Derevianko10
WSep 8 · 08:50A. Derevianko1.401111113O. Zhyrnov2.754650LSep 8 · 07:20A. Derevianko2.00117111172O. Strutinskiy1.73131159113WSep 8 · 05:50A. Derevianko2.25513116113I. Nitchenko1.57111141182WSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.50711116113V. Savoliuk1.5011961162LSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310890WSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481
M. Mrykh10
LSep 8 · 09:20M. Mrykh1.805670O. Strutinskiy1.911111113LSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790LSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh1.44116591O. Zhyrnov2.6341111113WSep 7 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310430LSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192LSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142WSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113
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