TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094597
Played Sep 8Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117119––––
Maksym Mrykh
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:42 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Mrykh to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Maksym Mrykh at 62.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 6–8 Maksym Mrykh Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:42What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mrykh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Mrykh
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1707 vs Mrykh 1704
Hrytsenko
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 80% vs Mrykh 40%
Hrytsenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 50% vs Mrykh 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +4 · Mrykh -1
Hrytsenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mrykh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 2.50 / Mrykh 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Mrykh)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094597
Hrytsenko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 85 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back30% 29 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 56
Mrykh1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 57 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko3wins
AwayMrykh7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko50%2 of 4
AwayMrykh83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko4Mrykh6n = 10Mrykh took 6 of 10
S2Hrytsenko1Mrykh9n = 10Mrykh took 9 of 10
S3Hrytsenko3Mrykh7n = 10Mrykh took 7 of 10
S4Hrytsenko2Mrykh4n = 6Mrykh took 4 of 6
S5Hrytsenko3Mrykh1n = 4Hrytsenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoMrykhH − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.737.4−1.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 650 vs 220 / 47849.5%46%322 / 650 vs 220 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrykhHrytsenko 2.50/Mrykh 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Mrykh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko—117117113M. Mrykh—71181142
LAug 21 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko—9860M. Mrykh—1111113
WAug 18 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko—781111113M. Mrykh—11114882
LJul 19 · 08:00E. Hrytsenko—13891172M. Mrykh—1111111113
LJul 14 · 10:40E. Hrytsenko—7890M. Mrykh—1111113
LJul 9 · 13:10E. Hrytsenko—116951M. Mrykh—31111113
WJul 8 · 16:40E. Hrytsenko—1111910113M. Mrykh—32111282
LJul 2 · 14:10E. Hrytsenko—5590M. Mrykh—1111113
LJun 18 · 16:40E. Hrytsenko—81090M. Mrykh—1112113
LJun 3 · 15:10E. Hrytsenko—71011101M. Mrykh—11126123
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko1.73139711123I. Nitchenko2.001111111102WSep 8 · 06:20E. Hrytsenko2.63611311113O. Strutinskiy1.4411411772WSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142LSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko2.63111080O. Strutinskiy1.441312113LSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171
M. Mrykh10
LSep 8 · 10:20A. Derevianko1.6111312113M. Mrykh2.208111041LSep 8 · 09:20M. Mrykh1.805670O. Strutinskiy1.911111113LSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh1.44116591O. Zhyrnov2.6341111113WSep 7 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310430LSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192LSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142WSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113
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