TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094624
Played Sep 8Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13119117111111210
Ivan Nitchenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Ivan Nitchenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 56.5%
96 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 27–24 Ivan Nitchenko Ivan Nitchenko has won 24 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hrytsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-24 in 51
Hrytsenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1721 vs Nitchenko 1586
Hrytsenko
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 100% vs Nitchenko 60%
Hrytsenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 60% vs Nitchenko 40%
Hrytsenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +5 · Nitchenko +1
Hrytsenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrytsenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 1.73 / Nitchenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrytsenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13094624
Hrytsenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 59 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Nitchenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 43 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko7wins
AwayNitchenko3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHrytsenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayNitchenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko7Nitchenko3n = 10Hrytsenko took 7 of 10
S2Hrytsenko6Nitchenko4n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S3Hrytsenko6Nitchenko4n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S4Hrytsenko6Nitchenko3n = 9Hrytsenko took 6 of 9
S5Hrytsenko2Nitchenko3n = 5Nitchenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoNitchenkoH − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.537.9+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoNitchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 651 vs 187 / 38449.6%48.7%323 / 651 vs 187 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoHrytsenko 1.73/Nitchenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko—11119113I. Nitchenko—841131
WAug 21 · 09:20E. Hrytsenko—11115113I. Nitchenko—581141
WAug 11 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko—521111113I. Nitchenko—11119172
LAug 4 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko—91211542I. Nitchenko—1110811113
LJul 3 · 12:20E. Hrytsenko—104111252I. Nitchenko—1211610113
WMay 26 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko—1111133I. Nitchenko—77110
LMay 22 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko—12711982I. Nitchenko—1011911113
WMay 19 · 09:20E. Hrytsenko—111211113I. Nitchenko—914461
WMay 5 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—111146123I. Nitchenko—661111102
WMay 1 · 11:20E. Hrytsenko—12117113I. Nitchenko—1021181
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 8 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko1.73711116113O. Zhyrnov2.0011991192WSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790WSep 8 · 06:20E. Hrytsenko2.63611311113O. Strutinskiy1.4411411772WSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142LSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko2.63111080O. Strutinskiy1.441312113LSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481
I. Nitchenko10
LSep 8 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy1.8311711113I. Nitchenko1.83711591WSep 8 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.20111010101I. Nitchenko1.6171212123LSep 8 · 05:50A. Derevianko2.25513116113I. Nitchenko1.57111141182LSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131WSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580WSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261LSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LAug 21 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy1.7391111123I. Nitchenko2.001166101WAug 21 · 11:20I. Nitchenko1.57113116113A. Derevianko2.2591181172
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